arXiv:2510. 16703v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The classical notion of causal effect identifiability is defined in terms of treatment and outcome variables.
By Yizuo Chen, Adnan Darwiche
arXiv:2602. 16481v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal discovery seeks to uncover causal relations from data, typically represented as causal graphs, and is essential for predicting the effects of interventions.
By Zihao Li, Fabrizio Russo
arXiv:2608. 19831v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and structural causal models (SCMs) are the dominant frameworks for graphical causal reasoning, but they cannot adequately represent all real-world causal systems.
By Joris M. Mooij
arXiv:2603. 01119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model.
By Rohit Bhattacharya, Ina Ocelli, Ted Westling
arXiv:2609.22409v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Understanding contextual causality is critical for large language models (LLMs), as it enables them to accurately identify causal relations in specific...
By Yiheng Zhao, Jun Yan, Chengming Hu
The paper introduces Probabilistic Causal Impact (PCI), a framework that blends actual causality (AC) with Pearl’s probability of necessity and sufficiency to provide tractable, causally grounded explanations. PCI reframes explainability as an estimation problem on a probabilistic causal model, enabling efficient approximation via Monte Carlo sampling. The authors evaluate PCI on synthetic and real-world data, demonstrating consistency with AC, scalability, and applicability to complex continuous systems and large-scale causal machine learning models.
By Rafal Urbaniak, Sam Witty, Daniel Waxman, Andy Zane, Poorva Garg, Emily Bunnapradist, Sankaran Vaidyanathan, Jack Feser, Drew Lehe, Eli Bingham