arXiv:2608. 05018v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Short-term load forecasting (STLF) play a vital role in the electric power industry.
arXiv:2604. 23859v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: With spotforecast2-safe we present an integrated Compliance-by-Design approach to Python-based point forecasting of time series in safety-critical environments.
The paper evaluates short‑term load forecasting methods that are sensitive to high‑demand periods across three distribution grid aggregation levels—area codes, secondary substations, and low‑voltage feeders—using UK and Swiss datasets. It compares statistical baselines, LightGBM, XGBoost, and foundation models Chronos Bolt and Chronos‑2, finding that Chronos‑2 delivers the best high‑demand performance and remains competitive overall. The study also shows that foundation model inference is fast enough for deployment and that peak‑aware evaluation and aggregation‑specific quantile selection can improve operational relevance.
For distribution system operators, short-term load forecasting (STLF) supports congestion management, voltage control, and asset protection. Most existing approaches focus on overall accuracy across a...
arXiv:2607. 01966v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Low-voltage load forecasting is an important component in current and future energy systems with a high degree of electrification and decentralized generation.
arXiv:2604. 26634v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021-2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models calibrated on historical data.
arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.
arXiv:2609.06656v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern power systems are growing increasingly complex as they integrate diverse generation sources to meet rising demand, making accurate load foreca...
Low-voltage load forecasting is an important component in current and future energy systems with a high degree of electrification and decentralized generation. However, current forecasting methods require significant manual effort, often lack uncertainty estimation and proper peak prediction, and they are often not adequately evaluated in terms of grid requirements.
arXiv:2510. 15780v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to support renewable energy forecasting and grid operations.
arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
arXiv:2607. 26710v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid growth of AI workloads is turning data centers into large-scale, volatile, yet spatiotemporally flexible grid loads, creating an urgent need for coordinated electricity-computing scheduling.