LoaDiff is a diffusion-based generative model that produces year-long, sub-hourly smart‑meter electricity consumption time series. It can be conditioned on static household attributes like appliance ownership and dynamic factors such as calendar dates and outdoor temperature. Evaluations on three residential datasets show that LoaDiff generates realistic, diverse load profiles, limits memorization, retains useful information for downstream tasks, and responds coherently to conditioning changes.
arXiv:2607. 10720v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The accelerating shift toward low-carbon power systems, together with the widespread adoption of behind-the-meter technologies such as rooftop solar and electric vehicles, is placing new operational and analytical demands on electricity grids.
The paper introduces DR‑Gym, an open‑source, Gymnasium‑compatible environment that simulates electric utility demand‑response programs at the market level. It uses a regime‑switching wholesale price model calibrated to real extreme events and physics‑based building demand profiles, providing a rich observational space and a configurable multi‑objective reward function for reinforcement learning. Baseline strategies and data snapshots demonstrate the simulator’s realism and learnability.
arXiv:2512. 22287v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic appliance data are essential for developing non-intrusive load monitoring algorithms and enabling privacy preserving energy research, yet the scarcity of labeled datasets remains a significant barrier.
arXiv:2610.08538v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic load forecasting has been widely studied for power-system operation and planning, but customer- and transformer-level forecasting intro...
The paper presents a two-part workflow for analyzing smart‑meter data to uncover patterns of residential co‑adoption of photovoltaic (PV) systems and electric vehicles (EVs). First, dynamic time warping k‑means clustering identifies distinct daily import/export archetypes for PV‑only, EV‑only, co‑adopters, and neither groups, revealing a midday‑centered export pattern for many co‑adopters. Second, a bidirectional LSTM model trained on 21‑day windows achieves high detection performance (AUROC 0.991, macro‑F1 0.906) for PV/EV activity, outperforming tabular baselines and remaining robust across labeling rules and temporal splits.
The paper investigates how the operational value of deep‑learning PV disaggregation depends on deployment regimes—whether the model serves known customers, new customers, future periods, or new regions. Using Ausgrid smart‑meter data and cross‑dataset adaptation to Pecan Street, the authors benchmark several deep sequence architectures and find that deployment regime explains more error variation than model choice. Fine‑tuning on a small number of target‑region households can significantly reduce transfer error, and the benefits of long input windows vary by use case.
SmartMeterFM is a conditional flow matching model that, once trained on monthly 15‑minute smart meter data, can generate realistic load and generation profiles, impute missing values, and perform super‑resolution without task‑specific retraining. By conditioning on customer and calendar attributes and using projection‑based guidance during inference, the model preserves temporal patterns and extreme values while matching supplied observations. In large‑scale case studies on Dutch consumption and photovoltaic data, SmartMeterFM achieved lower Continuous Ranked Probability Scores than task‑specific baselines for both imputation and 16‑fold super‑resolution, and matched or outperformed a task‑trained diffusion model on a public residential meter dataset.
arXiv:2606. 17692v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term electricity load forecasting is critical for the reliable and economic operation of modern power systems, under non-stationarity arising from weather variability, calendar effects, and evolving consumption patterns.
arXiv:2607. 16168v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Residential short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging because household demand is heterogeneous, temporally variable, and shaped by diverse behavioural routines.
ElecLoad is a context‑aware agent that improves electricity load forecasting by adaptively organizing the forecasting process around multiple events. It analyzes each event’s relevance, timing, and interactions with historical load, then decides whether to forecast the entire horizon or partition it into segments. Sub‑agents generate initial forecasts for each segment, and the main agent refines them based on feedback, achieving state‑of‑the‑art performance on several datasets.
Ireland’s smart metering programme records electricity use at 30‑minute intervals, which is too coarse to capture domestic appliance use. The authors present a label‑free disaggregation system that splits usage data into nine appliance categories by combining event detection for high‑power loads with questionnaire‑guided estimation. Evaluated on four datasets—including a large Irish smart‑meter dataset of over 4,800 years of use—the hybrid method achieves the lowest whole‑decomposition error and better month‑level performance than two independently developed systems.
The paper introduces a new NILM approach that uses label‑preserving aggregate recomposition and prediction consistency to improve appliance‑level power estimation. By recomposing aggregate windows with only the residual background changed, the method preserves target appliance signals while exposing a new supervisory signal. Experiments on REDD, UK‑DALE, and REFIT show reduced mean absolute error for multiple appliances without adding inference‑time complexity.