arXiv AI

Analysing drivers and interdependencies in European electricity markets using XAI

arXiv:2606. 19118v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Electricity markets are inherently complex systems characterised by strong nonlinearities, high-dimensional interactions, and increasing interdependence across regions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era

arXiv:2604. 26634v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021-2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models calibrated on historical data.

By My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha, Dat Thanh Nguyen
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

On the global feature importance for interpretable and trustworthy heat demand forecasting

arXiv:2608. 13039v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The paper introduces the ante-hoc Explainable AI methodology to assess the global feature importance of the Machine Learning models used for heat demand forecasting in intelligent control of District Heating Systems, with motivation to facilitate their interpretability and trustworthiness, hence addressing the challenges related to adherence to communal standards, customer satisfaction and liability risks.

By Milan Zdravkovi\'c
arXiv AI
5d ago

EU-ETS under attack? The impact of carbon price suppression on the decarbonization of the power sector

arXiv:2608. 12363v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: European countries are debating policies to mitigate the increased energy costs caused by renewed geopolitical tensions, while pursuing decarbonization and electrification.

By Javier Gonzalez-Ruiz, Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Alice Di Bella, Paolo Mastropietro, Jose Pablo Chavez-Avila, Massimo Tavoni
arXiv AI
Jun 2

Explainable Data-driven Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods for Optimal Energy Management in Buildings

arXiv:2606. 02049v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The increasing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems, particularly in buildings equipped with photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems, introduces significant complexity in energy systems.

By Hallah Shahid Butt, Qiong Huang, G\"okhan Demirel, Kevin F\"orderer, Erfan Tajalli-Ardekani, Simnon Waczowicz, Luigi Spatafora, Veit Hagenmeyer, Benjamin Sch\"afer
arXiv AI
Jul 14

WattCouncil: Context-Aware Household Energy Scenario Generation With Governed LLMs

arXiv:2607. 10720v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The accelerating shift toward low-carbon power systems, together with the widespread adoption of behind-the-meter technologies such as rooftop solar and electric vehicles, is placing new operational and analytical demands on electricity grids.

By Mohannad Takrouri, Nicolas M. Cuadrado A., Martin Tak\'a\v{c}
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Federated Graph Learning for EV Charging Demand Forecasting with Personalization Against Cyberattacks

arXiv:2405. 00742v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Mitigating cybersecurity risk in electric vehicle (EV) charging demand forecasting plays a crucial role in the safe operation of collective EV chargings, the stability of the power grid, and the cost-effective infrastructure expansion.

By Yi Li, Renyou Xie, Chaojie Li, Yi Wang, Zhaoyang Dong
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Time-Aware Prior Fitted Networks for Zero-Shot Forecasting with Exogenous Variables

arXiv:2603. 15802v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In many time series forecasting settings, the target time series is accompanied by exogenous covariates, such as promotions and prices in retail demand; temperature in energy load; calendar and holiday indicators for traffic or sales; and grid load or fuel costs in electricity pricing.

By Andres Potapczynski, Ravi Kiran Selvam, Tatiana Konstantinova, Malcolm Wolff, Kin G. Olivares, Ruijun Ma, Michael W. Mahoney, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Boris N. Oreshkin, Dmitry Efimov
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 14

Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis

Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.