arXiv Machine Learning

Prevalence calibration as shortcut mitigation

Shortcut learning occurs when classifiers rely on spurious correlations instead of true diagnostic features. The authors argue that this is essentially a calibration issue: unconstrained training aligns shortcut groups with their prevalence, causing over‑confidence in one group and under‑confidence in another. They introduce two encoder‑agnostic methods—a regularizer and a post‑hoc recalibration—to equalize prevalence across shortcut groups, achieving significant performance gains on chest‑drain‑pneumothorax benchmarks with both fine‑tuned CNNs and frozen foundation‑model backbones.

arXiv Computer Vision
Aug 28

MVC-Bench: Benchmarking Calibration of Medical Vision-Language Models

MVC-Bench is a new benchmark designed to evaluate the calibration of vision‑language models (VLMs) and medical VLMs (Medical‑VLMs) for medical image classification. It tests calibration across robustness to modality, backbone, and domain shift; effectiveness of calibration strategies and prompt‑tuning methods; and stability under prompt‑template and random‑seed variations. The benchmark includes eight backbones, three medical modalities (fundus imaging, histopathology, chest X‑ray), and compares post‑hoc, train‑time, and zero‑shot calibration approaches, reporting accuracy, Expected Calibration Error (ECE), Maximum Calibration Error (MCE), and Adaptive Calibration Error (ACE) over 1,638 experiments, while also proposing a Multi‑Class Margin (MCM) regularization technique that improves ECE in most settings.

By Ashshak Sharifdeen, Shihab Aaqil Ahamed, Ufaq Khan, Muhammad Akhtar Munir Sujair Ibrahim, Mohamed Rafeek Mareer Ahamed, Yutong Xie, Imran Razzak, Muhammad Haris Khan
arXiv AI
Jul 17

Demographically-Conditioned Synthetic Medical Images for Bias Mitigation and Bias Detection in Disease Classifiers

arXiv:2607. 14984v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Per-subgroup fairness audits of medical image classifiers face a sample-size problem: minority subgroups in held-out test sets have so few samples that the resulting confidence intervals on per-subgroup performance are wider than the bias the audit is meant to detect.

By Mahmoud Ibrahim, Bart Elen, Chang Sun, Gokhan Ertaylan, Michel Dumontier
arXiv AI
Oct 27

Feature Scaling Beats Architecture Choice in Offline Respiratory Screening for Low-Resource Clinics

The study compares classical and deep learning classifiers for a five‑class respiratory‑sound dataset of 1,211 clips. An SVM using 30 summary features (MFCC, ZCR, RMS) achieves macro recall of 0.78, while a 1.13M‑parameter convolutional‑recurrent network reaches 0.75–0.77; no clear advantage is found between model families. The largest performance gain comes from standardizing the SVM’s features, which boosts macro recall by 27 points, far exceeding any architectural difference.

By Abubakar Chilala, Cleophas Kadima, Innocent Anyaele, Victor Olufemi
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

MVC-Bench: Benchmarking Calibration of Medical Vision-Language Models

MVC-Bench is a calibration-focused benchmark for medical vision‑language models, evaluating how well these models express confidence across different modalities, backbones, and domain shifts. It tests robustness to modality, backbone, and domain changes, the effectiveness of calibration and prompt‑tuning strategies, and stability under prompt‑template and random‑seed variations. The benchmark includes 1638 experiments, reporting accuracy and Expected Calibration Error (ECE) along with other calibration metrics, and introduces a simple train‑time calibration method, Multi‑Class Margin (MCM) regularization, that achieves the lowest ECE in most settings.

arXiv AI
Sep 1

Scalable Clinical Data Infrastructure and Comparative ML Evaluation for Hospitalisation Risk Prediction in Elderly Patients with Multiple Long-Term Conditions using CPRD

arXiv:2608.29419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over s...

By Asra Aslam, Volodymyr Chapman, Maurice M. O'Connell, Aseel S. Abuzour, Michael Abaho, Danushka Bollegala, Gary Leeming, Eduard Shantsila, Andrew Clegg, Lauren E. Walker, Iain Edward Buchan, Samuel D. Relton
arXiv AI
Sep 15

GRIN+: Towards Fast Yet Effective Machine Unlearning for Imbalanced Medical Data

GRIN+ is a new machine unlearning framework that targets fast and precise data erasure in imbalanced medical datasets. It separates unlearning‑specific knowledge from general representations by analyzing gradient contributions of forget and retain sets, introduces a class‑adaptive influence scoring to counter gradient dominance, and uses a direction‑constrained update to protect essential clinical knowledge. Benchmarks on skin cancer, brain tumor, and breast ultrasound data show that GRIN+ balances privacy, efficiency, and utility, achieving high diagnostic accuracy and faster runtime than existing methods.

By Minghui Huang, Junxiao Wang
arXiv Computer Vision
Oct 19

Beyond Multi-Stage Pipelines: A Label-Correlation Ensemble for Multi-Label Retinal Fundus Disease Classification

The paper evaluates three architectures for multi-label retinal disease classification on a unified 39‑target dataset. A staged gated cascade, a flat sigmoid model, and a label‑correlation transformer are compared, all sharing the same backbone and training protocol. The label‑correlation model yields the largest performance gain, and blending it with the flat model under test‑time augmentation achieves the best results across most metrics.

By Md Asif Uddin, Jannatul Ferdous, Asif Islam, Zobaer Mahmud Zisan, Promit Ghosh, Shah Ahafik Arman, Niloy Farhan, Rafeed Rahman
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Improving Calibration of Black-Box Radiology AI Using Test-Time Augmentation

The paper presents DualTTA, a model‑agnostic framework that improves the calibration of black‑box radiology AI systems by applying clinically grounded test‑time augmentations (geometric and physics‑inspired 3D CT perturbations) and learning probability‑level aggregation strategies. Without accessing model internals or training data, DualTTA achieved the best overall calibration across pulmonary embolism and intracranial hemorrhage detection tasks, reducing Expected Calibration Error by 54% and 43% respectively. It also outperformed traditional uncertainty estimation methods that require internal model access, such as Temperature Scaling, MC Dropout, and Deep Ensembles.

By Nathan Le, Magdalini Paschali, Arogya Koirala, Andrew Johnston, Zhongnan Fang, David B. Larson, Akshay S. Chaudhari, Camila Gonzalez