CalArena: A Large-Scale Post-Hoc Calibration Benchmark
arXiv:2605. 30188v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable probability estimates are critical in many machine learning applications, yet modern classifiers are often poorly calibrated.
arXiv:2606. 28654v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep Neural Network (DNN) classifiers suffer from poor calibration when their softmax outputs (predictive confidence) deviate from the empirical likelihoods.
arXiv:2605. 30188v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable probability estimates are critical in many machine learning applications, yet modern classifiers are often poorly calibrated.
arXiv:2607. 07745v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While accuracy, robustness, and calibration are all essential for reliable neural networks, they are often studied separately; developing models that satisfy all three simultaneously remains a central challenge.
The paper introduces SMART, a lightweight recalibration technique that adjusts logits based on the margin between the top two logits, called the logit gap. It uses a soft-binned Expected Calibration Error objective to balance bias and variance, enabling stable updates even with limited calibration data. Experiments across various datasets and architectures show SMART achieves state‑of‑the‑art calibration with fewer parameters than existing methods.
arXiv:2607. 01902v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable confidence estimates are essential in semantic segmentation, especially in safety-critical settings where overconfident errors can mislead downstream decisions.
arXiv:2608. 09768v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A prediction that is both confident and wrong is a critical reliability failure because it can bypass abstention and human review precisely when the model is mistaken.
arXiv:2505. 23866v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep neural networks have been increasingly used in safety-critical applications such as medical diagnosis and autonomous driving.
Reliable confidence estimates are essential in semantic segmentation, especially in safety-critical settings where overconfident errors can mislead downstream decisions. Yet modern segmentation models often remain miscalibrated.
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
arXiv:2606. 27855v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning models for surface electromyography (sEMG) can benefit substantially from subject-specific (re-)calibration, since no sufficiently large and diverse datasets are available to train fully generic decoders.
arXiv:2606. 07086v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep neural networks (DNNs) excel in computer vision tasks given large annotated datasets.
arXiv:2601. 07965v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: When a model knows when it does not know, many possibilities emerge.
arXiv:2607. 13423v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temperature scaling is the dominant post-hoc calibration method in modern deep learning.