arXiv Machine Learning

RIDE: An Open Dataset and Benchmark for Train Delay Prediction

arXiv:2606. 05070v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Train delay prediction is an important problem for both passengers and railway operators, yet progress in the field remains difficult to assess due to the lack of standardized datasets, prediction targets, and evaluation protocols.

arXiv AI
Aug 25

RSTGCN: Railway-centric Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Train Delay Prediction

The paper introduces RSTGCN, a Railway-centric Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network that predicts average arrival delays for all incoming trains at a specific station during a given time period. It incorporates train frequency-aware spatial attention and other architectural innovations to improve predictive accuracy. Experiments on a newly released dataset covering 4,735 Indian Railway stations show RSTGCN outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines by 18% in MAE, 14% in MAPE, and 1–8% in RMSE.

By Koyena Chowdhury, Paramita Koley, Abhijnan Chakraborty, Saptarshi Ghosh
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

Predicting Train Delays in Finland Using Machine Learning and Weather Data

The paper presents a machine‑learning approach to predict train delays in Finland using the Finland Integrated Train‑Weather (FI‑TW) dataset, which merges railway operational records with data from about 200 nationwide weather sensors. Three feature sets were tested with XGBoost at Oulu central station: full weather features, instant observations only, and derived weather categories. The category‑based features—hierarchical classes such as Blizzard, Heavy Snow, and Extreme Cold—yielded the best performance, achieving an R² of 0.78, RMSE of 8.5 min, and MAE of 3.7 min, an 11 % R² improvement and 10 % error reduction over the other configurations.

By Vinicius Pozzobon Borin, Jean Michel de Souza Sant'Ana, Nurul Huda Mahmood
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.

By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine deep learning models for smart meter energy forecasting, evaluating them on two public datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point while accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational cost, showing lightweight models achieve similar accuracy to heavier ones, and notes that model choice matters less across most population segments.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

Inter-Stop Energy Prediction and Causal Driver Quantification for Dual-Source Trolleybuses via a Time-Aware Tabular Deep Learning Architecture

arXiv:2607. 11349v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Dual-source trolleybuses alternate between overhead catenary supply and on-board battery operation, creating energy-use patterns driven by route attributes, high-frequency trajectories, and hourly weather.

By Wentao Zeng (School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China a School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China, School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering and Automation, Foshan University, Foshan, China), Zijian Huang (School of Artificial Intelligence, South China Normal University, Guangzhou, China), Yiming Bie (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun, China), Jiabin Wu (School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China a School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China), Jun Gong (Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Efficient Traffic Prediction at Scale: A Systematic Study of STGCN Architectural Depth

arXiv:2606. 09539v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have become the dominant approach for traffic prediction, yet their computational requirements pose challenges for practical deployment in intelligent transportation systems (ITS).

By Soban Nasir Lone, Mohamed Abouelela, Taeyoung Yu, Jiwon Kim, Constantinos Antoniou