arXiv Machine Learning

Quantifying Uncertainty in Space Debris Capture with Active Tether-Net Systems Caused by Noisy Observations

arXiv:2606. 07580v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As Low Earth Orbit has grown more crowded with space debris, the need for reliable and efficient debris removal solutions becomes more urgent.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

Satellite Trajectory Optimization via Proximal Policy Optimization for Space Debris Avoidance

arXiv:2608. 09628v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Collision avoidance systems are commonly used to avoid fragmentation events occurring in Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) and Geosynchronous Equatorial Orbit (GEO).

By Logan Luna (Georgia Institute of Technology), Juan Ortiz Couder (Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University), Raul Alejandro Vargas-Acosta (Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University)
arXiv AI
Sep 15

Chance-Constrained Belief-Space Maneuver Planning for Autonomous Collision Avoidance Under Uncertainty

The paper presents a chance-constrained belief-space planning framework for autonomous collision avoidance in low Earth orbit. It models uncertain orbital states as Gaussian beliefs and uses a Monte Carlo tree search to decide whether to wait for better tracking data or to execute a maneuver before the time of closest approach. Experiments on 96 scenarios from NASA’s dataset show that the planner can avoid maneuvers in about 40% of cases while keeping collision risk below the threshold, with performance heavily dependent on tracking quality and cadence.

By Grace Ra Kim, Duncan Eddy, Mykel J. Kochenderfer
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

Estimating Inconsistency Response Surfaces under Uncertainty in Cyber-Physical System Development

The paper presents a method to estimate inconsistency response surfaces in Cyber‑Physical Systems (CPS) under uncertainty. By reformulating inconsistency as an intervention‑response modeling problem, the authors use Saltelli sampling and multi‑fidelity Monte Carlo estimation to generate datasets, then train a surrogate model that predicts inconsistency from propagated uncertainty geometry. Experiments on 48 scenarios across 10 CPS domains show that the surrogate matches Monte Carlo estimates while dramatically reducing evaluation time, enabling extensive sensitivity analysis and a gradient‑based consistency recourse method to identify minimal interventions that restore consistency.

By Johannes M\"akelburg, Tim Schwabe, Maribel Acosta
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 17

Decision-Driven Geosteering Under Uncertainty: A Unified Framework for Sequential Decision Optimization

arXiv:2606. 17331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Geosteering requires navigating a well trajectory through an unknown geological configuration, while sequentially updating decisions based on indirect measurements acquired during drilling.

By Hibat Errahmen Djecta, Sergey Alyaev, Kristian Fossum, Reidar B. Bratvold, Ressi Bonti Muhammad, Apoorv Srivastava
arXiv AI
Aug 25

Robust Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Small UAS Separation Assurance under GPS Degradation and Spoofing

The paper presents a robust multi‑agent reinforcement learning framework for small unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS) to maintain separation assurance when GPS data is degraded or spoofed. By modeling state observation corruption as a zero‑sum game, the authors derive a closed‑form adversarial perturbation that eliminates iterative inner optimization and can be evaluated in linear time. Integrating this perturbation into a policy‑gradient MARL algorithm yields a counter‑policy that achieves near‑zero collision rates in high‑density simulations even with up to 35% observation corruption, outperforming non‑adversarial baselines.

By Alex Zongo, Filippos Fotiadis, Ufuk Topcu, Peng Wei
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Correcting Learning-based Perception for Safety

The paper presents a two-step method to correct machine‑learning based perception for safety in autonomous systems. First, it uses offline computation to characterize uncertainties from the ML module via preimages of perception contracts. Then, at runtime, a risk heuristic selects specific states from these uncertain estimates to guide control decisions, reducing safety violations in adaptive cruise control scenarios while adding minimal delay.

By Yan Miao, Hussein Darir, Sayan Mitra