arXiv Machine Learning

Decision-Driven Geosteering Under Uncertainty: A Unified Framework for Sequential Decision Optimization

arXiv:2606. 17331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Geosteering requires navigating a well trajectory through an unknown geological configuration, while sequentially updating decisions based on indirect measurements acquired during drilling.

arXiv AI
Sep 17

Deep Learning for Sequential Decision Making under Uncertainty: Foundations, Frameworks, and Frontiers

The tutorial titled "Deep Learning for Sequential Decision Making under Uncertainty: Foundations, Frameworks, and Frontiers" explores how modern deep learning techniques—such as neural networks, transformers, large language models, and deep reinforcement learning—can be integrated with operations research and management science to address complex, uncertain, and dynamic decision problems. It argues that deep learning should complement, not replace, optimization, offering adaptability and scalable approximation while OR/MS provides rigorous constraint and uncertainty modeling. The tutorial organizes the field around predict‑then‑optimize, decision‑aware learning, constraint‑aware decision generation, and deep reinforcement learning, and highlights applications across supply chains, healthcare, energy, and autonomous systems.

By I. Esra Buyuktahtakin
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 24

Smart Exploration in Reinforcement Learning using Bounded Uncertainty Models

The paper introduces BUMEX, a reinforcement learning exploration strategy that leverages a set of prior models containing the true transition kernel and reward function. By optimizing over this model set, the method derives upper and lower bounds on the Q‑function to guide exploration, providing theoretical guarantees of convergence to the optimal policy. When the model set follows a bounded‑parameter MDP structure, the optimization becomes convex, enabling finite‑time convergence under mild assumptions and demonstrating accelerated learning in simulations.

By J. S. van Hulst, W. P. M. H. Heemels, D. J. Antunes
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

Uncertainty-Aware Predictive Safety Filters for Probabilistic Neural Network Dynamics

arXiv:2604. 26836v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive safety filters (PSFs) leverage model predictive control to enforce constraint satisfaction during deep reinforcement learning (RL) exploration, yet their reliance on first-principles models or Gaussian processes limits scalability and broader applicability.

By Bernd Frauenknecht, Lukas Kesper, Daniel Mayfrank, Henrik Hose, Sebastian Trimpe
arXiv AI
Jun 8

Exploring Agentic Tool-Calling Decisions via Uncertainty-Aligned Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2606. 06976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM)-based agents often make suboptimal tool-use decisions, including unsupported tool invocation and hallucinated direct responses, which may accumulate errors throughout multi-step interactions.

By Yijin Zhou, Linqian Zeng, Xiaoya Lu, Wenyuan Xie, Dongrui Liu, Junchi Yan, Jing Shao
arXiv AI
Jun 6

Retry Policy Gradients in Continuous Action Spaces

arXiv:2606. 05888v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retry-based objectives such as pass@K and max@K optimize the best return obtained from multiple sampled trajectories, and recent work has shown that they can promote exploration without explicit exploration bonuses.

By Soichiro Nishimori, Paavo Parmas
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

GEM-MPC: Balancing Exploration and Exploitation through Expert-Guided Planning

GEM-MPC is a reinforcement learning method that blends MPPI planning with policy learning to balance exploration and exploitation in high-dimensional continuous control tasks. It trains a policy to clone the planner while also maintaining a KL-regularized policy that explores around the planner’s suggestions, thereby improving the synergy between planning and learning. The approach introduces Gated Prior Distillation, which selectively updates policies from stored planning distributions only when they offer better targets, reducing the influence of stale data without costly reanalysis. Across continuous-control benchmarks, GEM-MPC outperforms existing planning-based baselines while using lower computational budgets.

By Alvaro Serra-Gomez, Thomas Moerland