arXiv Machine Learning

Black box behavioural modelling: Predicting human activity schedules with a deep conditional generative approach

arXiv:2512. 04223v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modelling the complexity and diversity of human activity scheduling behaviour is inherently challenging.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Modelling daily activity patterns from mobile phone location data via deep representation learning

The paper introduces the Activity Chain Encoder (ACE), a self‑supervised deep learning model that transforms passively collected mobile phone location data into daily activity representations. ACE integrates pre‑trained urban embeddings, visit timing, and duration, using a Transformer to capture the sequential structure of stays, and is trained via masked activity modelling and contrastive learning without explicit activity labels. The resulting user‑level profiles are clustered and interpreted with temporal‑functional patterns and Census demographics, revealing six distinct weekday activity‑pattern groups in London that differ in daily rhythms, urban contexts, and demographic characteristics.

By Xinglei Wang, Junyuan Liu, Guangsheng Dong, Zichao Zeng, Stephen Law, James Haworth, Tao Cheng
arXiv AI
Jul 1

A time-series classification framework for individual-level absenteeism prediction under severe class imbalance

arXiv:2606. 31532v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Staff absenteeism imposes substantial operational costs in high-demand work environments such as healthcare, emergency services, meat processing, construction, and courier and delivery services, where proactive workforce planning depends on reliable individual-level absence prediction.

By Kwong Ho Li, Matthew Roughan, Wathsala Karunarathne
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 24

Fine-tuning LLMs for Tourist Trajectory Prediction using Field Experiment Data

The paper demonstrates that fine‑tuning large language models (LLMs) on local tourist trajectory data can predict visitor movements under varying conditions. Using 566 trajectories from Wakayama Castle Park, Japan, the authors fine‑tuned Llama‑3.1‑8B, achieving 49.1% accuracy for next point‑of‑interest predictions and maintaining strong performance even on undersampled scenarios such as rainy days. This shows that LLMs can serve as high‑fidelity, context‑aware behavior models for tourist prediction and enable counterfactual analysis of mobility interventions.

By Tatsuya Amano, Hirozumi Yamaguchi