arXiv:2606. 31532v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Staff absenteeism imposes substantial operational costs in high-demand work environments such as healthcare, emergency services, meat processing, construction, and courier and delivery services, where proactive workforce planning depends on reliable individual-level absence prediction.
arXiv:2511. 09789v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics.
arXiv:2608. 10969v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Healthcare data, such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) records, comprise heterogeneous multivariate time series sampled at irregular intervals with pervasive missingness.
arXiv:2602. 16224v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima.
The paper introduces a compact patient world model that forecasts digital health campaign outcomes by maintaining a latent state per patient and learning exposure‑conditioned dynamics. Evaluated on a large US campaign dataset, the model predicts new‑to‑brand prescription volume with low relative error (2.9% at week‑4 cutoff) compared to much higher errors from baseline classifiers. The study also shows that dense next‑exposure supervision is crucial for accurate forecasts when conversions are rare and highlights limitations in interpreting exposure‑conditioned rollouts causally.
arXiv:2607. 28035v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Irregular multivariate time series are widely encountered in applications such as healthcare monitoring, human activity recognition, and environmental sensing.
The paper proposes an event-based approach to predict transitions into vineyard disease‑risk periods within a 3–7 day window, rather than daily disease status. It defines events only after a minimum disease‑free gap to reduce label fragmentation and uses multi‑year agro‑meteorological data to capture humidity, rainfall, temperature, and seasonal patterns. Experiments with XGBoost, LSTM, and TCN models show that this formulation improves short‑horizon warning, highlighting trade‑offs among recall, lead time, and false alerts.
arXiv:2608.29301v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting future organ dysfunction in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients is critical for early clinical intervention, yet existing machine learning ap...
NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.
The study introduces TRACER, a Transformer-based model that uses contrastive event representation to predict timelines leading to heart failure hospitalizations from low-resolution, irregularly sampled telemonitoring data. TRACER incorporates time-aware embeddings, contrastive pre‑training for anomaly detection, and independent binary classifiers, and was evaluated on biomarker sequences from 276 heart failure patients. The model achieved 66.7% accuracy in predicting hospitalization timelines with a 7.9% overestimation, outperforming other tested models by reformulating training as an event detection problem.
NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.
arXiv:2601. 16406v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Rare-event prediction is critical in domains such as healthcare, finance, reliability engineering, customer support, aviation safety, where positive outcomes are infrequent yet potentially catastrophic.
arXiv:2608.29419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over s...