arXiv AI

Unveiling Stochasticity: Universal Multi-modal Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic Forecasting

arXiv:2604. 16084v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management.

arXiv AI
Aug 24

RiskTraf: Risk-Extrapolated Residual Learning for Multi-Variate Traffic Flow Prediction

RiskTraf introduces a risk-extrapolated residual learning approach for multi-variate traffic flow prediction, leveraging raw flow, speed, and occupancy data from the new PEMSB-3V benchmark. The method freezes a trained spatio-temporal backbone and adds a lightweight residual head that learns from historical speed and occupancy to correct flow predictions across different traffic regimes. Experiments show consistent improvements over various backbones and outperform existing debiasing and distribution-shift adaptation techniques.

By Guangyu Wang, Zhidan Liu
arXiv AI
3d ago

Spatio-Temporal Partial Sensing Forecast for Long-term Traffic

The paper introduces the Spatio-temporal Long-term Partial sensing Forecast model (SLPF) for predicting long-term traffic when sensors are only available at some locations. It tackles challenges such as unknown data distribution at unsensed sites, complex spatio-temporal correlations, and noise by employing a rank-based embedding, a spatial transfer matrix, and a multi-step training process. Experiments on real-world datasets show that SLPF outperforms existing methods.

By Zibo Liu, Zhe Jiang, Zelin Xu, Tingsong Xiao, Zhengkun Xiao, Yupu zhang, Haibo Wang, Shigang Chen
arXiv AI
Jun 10

MoE Enhanced Federated Learning for Spatiotemporal Prediction

arXiv:2606. 10499v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traffic prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems and urban computing, yet many cities continue to suffer from traffic data scarcity due to limited sensor deployment and uneven urban development.

By Zhehao Dai, Xiao Han, Zhaolin Deng, Zijian Zhang, Xiangyu Zhao, Guojiang Shen, Xiangjie Kong
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

A Multi-View Coupled Tensor Decomposition for Lightweight Online Adaptive Traffic Prediction

The paper introduces a Multi-View Coupled Tensor Decomposition (MVCTD) model for online traffic prediction that handles imperfect multi-view data such as speed, flow, and occupancy. MVCTD builds a structured latent forecasting space by jointly modeling shared spatial structures across views and view‑specific temporal dynamics, and incorporates group sparse regularization to mitigate the impact of traffic anomalies. For streaming deployment, the method performs iterative refinement only on the current latent tensor, updating other variables with lightweight closed‑form steps based on summarized historical data, which reduces runtime while maintaining accuracy even under severe missingness.

By Quan Yu, Jie Ni, Yu-Hong Dai, Xiongjun Zhang