arXiv Machine Learning

Additive Control Variates Dominate Self-Normalisation in Off-Policy Evaluation

arXiv:2602. 14914v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is essential for assessing ranking and recommendation systems without costly online interventions.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 2

Tailoring Strictly Proper Scoring Rules for Downstream Tasks: An Application to Causal Inference

Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation. This disconnect is especially critical in Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) for causal inference, where propensity score errors near $0$ and $1$ often lead to high bias and variance.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 8

Automatic, Debiased, and Invariant Counterfactual Generation under General Interventions

arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.

By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios. In this paper, we propose the Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network (CHAUN) and Robust Adversarial Inverse Propensity Score (RA-IPS) method to address these limitations.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

arXiv:2606. 27114v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios.

By Haoran Zhang, Chuanpu Li, Yuxin Fu, Bin Tong, Guan Wang, Bo Zheng, Feng Zhou