arXiv Machine Learning

When Respondents Are Scarce: LLM-Derived Semantic Priors for Bayesian Confirmatory Factor Analysis

The paper introduces the Semantic‑Empirical Updating Framework (SEUF), which uses large language model paraphrases and embeddings aligned with hypothesized item‑factor assignments to create prespecified priors for Bayesian confirmatory factor analysis. In experiments with a 38‑item survey and two public surveys (FEVS and RIASEC), SEUF maintained semantic structure after wording controls and achieved comparable loading precision with 50 respondents to conventional CFA with 70–82 respondents, reducing required sample size by 29–39%. The approach yielded lower loading errors and better credible‑interval coverage, especially when respondent data were scarce, demonstrating the benefit of incorporating semantic priors in small‑sample measurement.

arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 28

semanticfa: An R Package for Response-Free Semantic Factor Analysis of Psychometric Scales

The paper introduces semanticfa, an R package that performs semantic factor analysis on psychometric scales by converting items into language‑model embeddings and factoring their similarities. It demonstrates the method on the 50‑item International Personality Item Pool Big‑Five markers, compares the semantic factors to a large response‑based factor analysis, and shows how the package can interpret factors, flag redundant items, build short forms, and screen new items. The authors propose semantic‑behavioral coherence as a measurable property of a scale, noting that semantic factor analysis complements but does not replace traditional response‑based factor analysis.

By Devon Yanitski, Chris Westbury
arXiv AI
Aug 25

LLM Evaluation on Unseen Questions: Contextual Multidimensional IRT Model

The paper proposes a model-based evaluation framework that merges multidimensional item response theory (IRT) with question context embeddings to predict large language model (LLM) performance on unseen questions. By representing LLMs with latent capability profiles and incorporating question content to inform item characteristics, the approach improves prediction accuracy over model-free baselines in within-scenario settings and offers a richer description of capability variation than unidimensional models. However, the study also finds that this generalizability does not reliably extend to cross-scenario shifts, indicating a key limitation for broader application.

By Ergan Shang, Weijing Tang, Yinqiu He
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 22

LLMs as survey respondents: Comparison to simple semantic baselines

The study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can serve as effective substitutes for human survey respondents, particularly for data augmentation by predicting new responses from partial data. Researchers evaluated three LLMs on two attitude surveys about automated and light-electric vehicles, comparing their predictions to two embedding-similarity baselines. Results showed that while LLMs generally outperformed the baselines, their accuracy dropped as less known responses were provided, sometimes matching baseline performance in one survey.

By Esko Lehtonen, Tommi Buder-Gr\"ondahl
arXiv AI
Aug 26

A Dual-Dimensional LLM Framework for Automated Item Incidental Content Similarity Analysis in Large-Scale Assessments

The paper introduces a dual‑dimensional framework called Automated Item Similarity Analysis (AISA) that uses Large Language Models to assess incidental content similarity in large‑scale assessments. It combines Structured Decomposition and Semantic Relatedness to capture both structural and semantic nuances that traditional metrics miss. Psychometric validation shows that LLM‑derived metrics better align with construct‑irrelevant local dependence and produce more coherent item groupings, and simulations in Computerized Adaptive Testing demonstrate improved estimation stability and reduced bias with minimal efficiency loss.

By Jing Huang, Jihong Zhang, Hua-Hua Chang
arXiv AI
Aug 19

Interpretable Humans, Alien LLMs: Expert Analysis of Latent Structures in Assessment Responses

The study examines whether the latent factors that explain large language model (LLM) performance correspond to human‑interpretable cognitive constructs. Using exploratory factor analysis on responses from humans and six LLMs in quantitative reasoning and chemistry, subject‑matter experts could interpret most human‑derived factors but struggled to ascribe meaning to LLM‑derived factors, especially in quantitative reasoning and only partially in chemistry. The results suggest that LLMs often rely on statistically opaque mechanisms distinct from human reasoning.

By Alona Strugatski, Licol Zeinfeld, Jason Cooper, Shelley Rap, Gil Schwarts, Giora Alexandron
arXiv AI
Sep 1

The Unsampled Truth: Quantifying Prompt Artifacts in LM Psychometrics

The study investigates how different prompt components affect language model responses in psychometric tests. By crossing five distinct baseline personas with five variants of each prompt element—persona wording, task instruction, item wording, and option symbol—the authors measure response shifts using the 1‑Wasserstein distance. Their analysis of 13 small open‑weight language models on the Big Five Inventory and Short Dark Triad reveals that task instruction and option symbol changes often cause more variation than paraphrasing the persona or item, with prompt artifacts explaining over 50% of the variation for many items.

By Nils Schwager, Christoph Hau, Simon M\"unker, Achim Rettinger
arXiv AI
Aug 26

What Reaches Expert Review? Representation, Structural Screening, and Candidate-Form Dependence in AI-Assisted Item Development

The article examines how AI‑assisted item generation is filtered by a computational evaluator before expert review, focusing on representation, structural screening, and candidate‑form dependence. Through two in‑silico studies of 32,000 Big Five items, the authors show that subtle differences in semantic representation and structural evaluation lead to divergent item selections, even when overall content coverage appears stable. The findings reveal that the evaluator, often treated as a neutral technical step, actually shapes the evidence and wording that psychometricians ultimately review, highlighting its role as a revisable component of measurement design.

By Christopher Brooks (School of Information, University of Michigan)