arXiv:2607. 14124v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The increasing availability of large-scale educational datasets has expanded the use of quantitative methods for investigating school performance.
arXiv:2510. 22266v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Identifying the factors that influence student performance in basic education is a central challenge for formulating effective public policies in Brazil.
arXiv:2608.24500v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The STAR (Student-Teacher Achievement Ratio) experiment (1985, Tennessee, USA) is a landmark hierarchical dataset designed to assess the impact of cl...
Accurate assessment of student competencies is essential for enabling educators to identify individual needs, design targeted interventions, and evaluate the effectiveness of educational strategies. E...
The paper proposes a structural causal modelling framework for student competency assessment, moving beyond traditional probabilistic models like item response theory. It introduces a protocol for constructing such models, emphasizing the explicit representation of interventions (e.g., hints) and counterfactual analysis. The authors illustrate the approach with data from an assessment of compulsory school students’ algorithmic skills.
arXiv:2609.23836v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A fundamentally challenging question in K-12 education is about the effects of taking more advanced or challenging classes. It is particularly complex...
arXiv:2607. 26063v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Personalised learning systems often assume that mathematical ability is combined of discrete abilities, acquired sequentially and dependent upon first acquiring foundational abilities, and students often report different strengths.
arXiv:2609.35898v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper proposes Wasserstein Causal Forests (WCF) for settings in which each unit's outcome is itself a probability distribution. This study also...
arXiv:2004. 10846v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Problem definition: Traditionally, New York City's top 8 public schools have selected candidates solely based on their scores in the Specialized High School Admissions Test (SHSAT).
The study audited seven public educational prediction datasets using four pre‑modeling reliability checks—baseline gap, split instability, null separation, and metadata adequacy under group‑aware holdout. Only three datasets passed all checks; the others failed either group‑aware generalization tests or lacked necessary provenance metadata. The audit revealed that cross‑group fragility, rather than weak iid performance, was the dominant failure mode, and that increasing model complexity did not resolve these structural issues.
The paper presents a hybrid AI framework for academic advising that combines an ensemble-based grade prediction model with a rule‑based expert system. Students from the University of Birjand were clustered using Gaussian Mixture Models, and a Stacking Ensemble of Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and MLP was trained per cluster, achieving an aggregated RMSE of 2.35. The expert system then uses these predictions alongside institutional regulations to give real‑time feedback such as GPA forecasts, probation warnings, and course recommendations.
arXiv:2608. 07871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate, up-to-date income data at the sub-municipal scale is essential for social policy in middle-income countries, yet in Brazil it depends on a costly decennial census whose intercensal gap recently exceeded a decade.
The study investigates how a single mastery threshold can produce divergent outcomes across different knowledge tracing (KT) models. By evaluating six KT models on four datasets with thresholds ranging from 0.50 to 0.99, the authors find that Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) is relatively insensitive to threshold changes, whereas neural models become increasingly selective as thresholds rise. The optimal threshold varies widely across models and instructional settings, and stricter thresholds can disproportionately limit advancement for weaker students.