arXiv Machine Learning

STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

arXiv:2607. 20592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 22

STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research. However, machine-learning models are highly sensitive to both the characteristics of the training data, such as its distribution, and methodological choices, including the cross-validation strategy.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

OpFML: Pipeline for ML-based Operational Inference

arXiv:2601. 11046v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning models for climate and Earth science are becoming increasingly capable, yet model deployment into operational use remains a largely unaddressed challenge: general-purpose model-serving tools, such as MLflow and KServe, assume input data availability at the inference node, while data acquisition, failure handling, and preprocessing are trusted to a separate workflow.

By Shahbaz Alvi, Giusy Fedele, Gabriele Accarino, Italo Epicoco, Ilenia Manco, Pasquale Schiano
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Event-Based Early Warning of Vineyard Disease Risk from Environmental Time Series

The paper proposes an event-based approach to predict transitions into vineyard disease‑risk periods within a 3–7 day window, rather than daily disease status. It defines events only after a minimum disease‑free gap to reduce label fragmentation and uses multi‑year agro‑meteorological data to capture humidity, rainfall, temperature, and seasonal patterns. Experiments with XGBoost, LSTM, and TCN models show that this formulation improves short‑horizon warning, highlighting trade‑offs among recall, lead time, and false alerts.

By Ivica Dimitrovski, Ivan Kitanovski, Danco Davcev, Slobodan Kalajdziski, Kosta Mitreski
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Planetary Prediction Engine: Autonomous Geospatial Prediction via Intelligent Data Selection and Foundation Model Embeddings

The Planetary Prediction Engine (PPE) is an autonomous AI system that transforms natural-language queries into end-to-end geospatial predictions. It automatically retrieves and fuses multimodal datasets from open-web and Earth observation sources, incorporates foundation model embeddings, and searches task‑specific model families with overfitting safeguards. Across multiple domains, PPE outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines, improving regression metrics for CDC health indicators, FEMA risk indices, and the Social Vulnerability Index, doubling accuracy for Nigerian food security indicators, and achieving higher recall in Ebola outbreak nowcasting.

By Evelyn Ma, Rama Kumar Pasumarthi, Kishwar Shafin, Mandar Sharma, Mimi Sun, Hamed Sadeghi, Dav M. Ebengo, Mbulayi Onesime, Rouslan Solomakhin, John Wamburu, William Ogallo, Aisha Walcott-Bryant, Sanxing Chen, Arbaaz Muslim, Yael Mayer, Ronald Ho, Roy Lee, Ruth Alcantara, Abdoulaye Diack, Monica Bharel, Lambert Rosique, Jeremy Amez-Droz, Christopher Haire, James Manyika, Yossi Matias, Niv Efron, Gautam Prasad, Shravya Shetty