arXiv:2503. 19158v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) management is a complex task due to many variability factors.
arXiv:2607. 19006v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of blood glucose concentration is key in the management of Type 1 Diabetes, facilitating early detection of adverse glycemic events and supporting timely therapeutic interventions.
arXiv:2607. 14126v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) is a chronic, life-threatening autoimmune condition characterized by the complete destruction of insulin-producing pancreatic beta cells.
arXiv:2608. 13581v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Personalized glucose regulation remains a central yet unresolved challenge in precision nutrition, as postprandial glucose response varies substantially across individuals.
arXiv:2606. 29386v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting a patient's physiological trajectory under a planned treatment sequence is a prospective interventional problem, not standard time-series extrapolation.
arXiv:2606. 18640v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Glucose forecasting algorithms are an important aspect of glycemic control management in type 1 diabetes.
arXiv:2606. 06881v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Blood glucose forecasting models are foundational for modern diabetes management systems, as reliable short-term predictions can enable proactive interventions, support automated insulin delivery, and reduce the risk of hypo- and hyperglycemic events.
The study evaluates time‑series foundation models for continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) forecasting across eight public datasets covering Type 1, Type 2, and non‑diabetes populations. Zero‑shot foundation models did not consistently beat strong task‑specific baselines, but lightweight fine‑tuning of models like Chronos‑Bolt improved root‑mean‑square error by up to 18% in both in‑distribution and out‑of‑distribution settings. Incorporating multimodal dietary context via CGMacros and a residual‑based fusion framework further reduced overall RMSE by ~3% and postprandial RMSE by ~15%, indicating that dietary signals add clinically meaningful value beyond CGM alone.
GlucoFM is a lightweight foundation model for continuous glucose monitoring that aligns irregular CGM data to a 24‑hour grid and splits glucose dynamics into slow‑varying trend and short‑term deviation streams. Pre‑trained on over 109,000 hours of unlabeled recordings, it outperforms existing CGM‑specific models on seven phenotype‑classification tasks, improving average PR‑AUC by 4.1 points and enabling strong cross‑dataset transfer and few‑shot adaptation. When combined with meal, nutrition, and subject context, its frozen encoder delivers the lowest two‑hour postprandial glycemic response errors for trajectory, incremental AUC, peak rise, and peak timing metrics.
arXiv:2601. 05353v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate blood glucose forecasting using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data can support the early prediction of dysglycemic risk.
arXiv:2606. 05373v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable neural architecture selection is an open challenge in time-series forecasting under limited, noisy, and heterogeneous data, where standard heuristic architecture design and validation approaches fail to ensure accurate and reliable prediction and generalization.
arXiv:2606. 12699v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) poses an increasing global health threat, demanding effective glycemic assessment to support personalized and improved diabetes care.
The paper introduces the Variability-Aware Recursive Neural Network (VARNN), a residual-aware architecture for supervised time-series regression that learns a nonlinear, vector-valued residual representation from recent prediction errors. VARNN conditions subsequent predictions on this learned residual-memory state, mapping scalar prediction innovations into a short-context representation. Experiments on nine datasets across energy, healthcare, and environmental domains show that VARNN achieves lower test MSE than static, lag-based, and sequence-model baselines, and ablations confirm that the learned residual memory improves predictive accuracy over direct scalar residual feedback.