arXiv:2606. 06881v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Blood glucose forecasting models are foundational for modern diabetes management systems, as reliable short-term predictions can enable proactive interventions, support automated insulin delivery, and reduce the risk of hypo- and hyperglycemic events.
arXiv:2607. 19006v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of blood glucose concentration is key in the management of Type 1 Diabetes, facilitating early detection of adverse glycemic events and supporting timely therapeutic interventions.
arXiv:2601. 05353v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate blood glucose forecasting using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) data can support the early prediction of dysglycemic risk.
arXiv:2606. 05373v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable neural architecture selection is an open challenge in time-series forecasting under limited, noisy, and heterogeneous data, where standard heuristic architecture design and validation approaches fail to ensure accurate and reliable prediction and generalization.
arXiv:2607. 21117v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Preprocessing blood glucose time-series data is a critical yet often overlooked step in developing data-driven methods for diabetes management, particularly for type 1 diabetes.
arXiv:2606. 18640v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Glucose forecasting algorithms are an important aspect of glycemic control management in type 1 diabetes.
GlucoFM is a lightweight foundation model for continuous glucose monitoring that aligns irregular CGM data to a 24‑hour grid and splits glucose dynamics into slow‑varying trend and short‑term deviation streams. Pre‑trained on over 109,000 hours of unlabeled recordings, it outperforms existing CGM‑specific models on seven phenotype‑classification tasks, improving average PR‑AUC by 4.1 points and enabling strong cross‑dataset transfer and few‑shot adaptation. When combined with meal, nutrition, and subject context, its frozen encoder delivers the lowest two‑hour postprandial glycemic response errors for trajectory, incremental AUC, peak rise, and peak timing metrics.
The study evaluates time‑series foundation models for continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) forecasting across eight public datasets covering Type 1, Type 2, and non‑diabetes populations. Zero‑shot foundation models did not consistently beat strong task‑specific baselines, but lightweight fine‑tuning of models like Chronos‑Bolt improved root‑mean‑square error by up to 18% in both in‑distribution and out‑of‑distribution settings. Incorporating multimodal dietary context via CGMacros and a residual‑based fusion framework further reduced overall RMSE by ~3% and postprandial RMSE by ~15%, indicating that dietary signals add clinically meaningful value beyond CGM alone.
arXiv:2507.14077v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms are a critical part of state-of-the-art digital health technology for diabetes management. Yet, acces...
arXiv:2609.08772v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly being investigated for physiological time-series prediction, yet their effectiveness may depend not only...
The paper examines how the representation of physiological data affects the performance of large language models (LLMs) in predicting post‑meal blood glucose events for people with type 1 diabetes. Using the OhioT1DM dataset, the authors compare zero‑shot and few‑shot prompt‑based LLMs across 30, 60, and 90‑minute horizons, varying the textual encoding of glucose readings, derived descriptors, and contextual variables such as insulin, meals, carbs, and activity. Results show that while conventional supervised models excel at hyperglycemia prediction, certain prompt‑based LLM configurations outperform them for hypoglycemia, and that the way data is presented to the model is a key determinant of success, with added context not consistently improving outcomes.
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.
arXiv:2608. 10969v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Healthcare data, such as Intensive Care Unit (ICU) records, comprise heterogeneous multivariate time series sampled at irregular intervals with pervasive missingness.