arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.
By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
arXiv:2606. 06524v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate and scalable flood mapping remains challenging due to limited ground observations, heterogeneous terrain conditions, and the difficulty of enforcing hydrodynamic consistency within data-driven models.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2608. 19672v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Natural hazard susceptibility mapping is often constrained by limited labeled data, reducing the generalizability of conventional machine learning and limiting the applicability of complex deep learning models.
By Mohammad H. Vahidnia, Ali Pourkarimi
Natural hazard susceptibility mapping is often constrained by limited labeled data, reducing the generalizability of conventional machine learning and limiting the applicability of complex deep learning models. This study proposes SAGE (Spatially Augmented Graph Embeddings), a structurally informed feature-engineering framework that combines controlled noise-based data augmentation with neighborhood-based graph embeddings to improve prediction under data-scarce conditions.
Effective flood monitoring is critical for minimizing the impacts of flood disasters on populations and infrastructure. Yet reliable remote sensing across extensive and environmentally diverse regions remains challenging, as most segmentation algorithms lack the generalisation capacity required for large-scale application, while annotated flood data are scarce and unevenly distributed.
The paper compares classical machine learning algorithms—such as Logistic Regression, SVM, Random Forest, XGBoost, and CatBoost—with Tabular Deep Learning models (TabNet, FT-Transformer, TabTransformer, TabSeq, and 1D CNNs) for urban land cover classification using a UCI dataset derived from high‑resolution aerial imagery. It evaluates performance across nine land cover classes, addressing challenges like high dimensionality, heterogeneous features, and class imbalance by applying weighted cross‑entropy loss for deep models and measuring accuracy, macro‑precision, macro‑recall, macro‑F1, AUC‑ROC, and confusion matrices. Results indicate that while tree ensembles remain strong baselines, Tabular Deep Learning can match or surpass them when non‑linear interactions are prominent and imbalance handling is effective.
By Muntasir Tabasum, Tanpia Tasnim, Md. Ekramul Islam, Al Zadid Sultan Bin Habib
arXiv:2510. 02605v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While many modern studies are dedicated to ML-based large-sample hydrologic modeling, these efforts have not necessarily translated into predictive improvements that are grounded in enhanced physical-conceptual understanding.
By Yuan-Heng Wang, Yang Yang, Fabio Ciulla, Hoshin V. Gupta, Charuleka Varadharajan
arXiv:2607. 23237v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Effective flood risk management relies on accurate forecasting, yet the "black box" nature of stateof-the-art Deep Learning models creates a barrier to trust and accountability in high-stakes public safety decisions.
By Eli Levinkopf, Efrat Morin, Claudia V. Goldman
The paper introduces the Mass‑Conserving Perceptron (MCP), a physics‑aware AI framework that enforces conservation laws while learning hydrological process relationships from data. By progressively adding physically meaningful components—such as bounded soil storage, state‑dependent conductivity, variable porosity, infiltration capacity, surface ponding, vertical drainage, and nonlinear water‑table dynamics—to a single MCP storage unit, the authors demonstrate that predictive skill for daily streamflow improves across 15 U.S. catchments. The study finds that the impact of each process representation varies with hydroclimate, with vertical drainage boosting performance in arid and snow‑dominated basins but hindering it in rainfall‑dominated ones, while surface ponding has minimal effect; the best MCP configurations rival LSTM benchmarks while retaining explicit physical interpretability.
By Mohammad A. Farmani, Hoshin V. Gupta, Ali Behrangi, Muhammad Jawad, Sadaf Moghisi, Guo-Yue Niu
arXiv:2604. 26051v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The increasing number of satellites has improved the temporal resolution of Earth observation, making satellite-based flood mapping a promising approach for operational flood monitoring.
By Hyunho Lee, Wenwen Li