arXiv AI

Neutrosophic Ensemble Classification for Uncertainty-Aware Bearing Fault Detection: Evidence from Laboratory and Variable-Speed Industrial Benchmarks

The paper presents a neutrosophic decomposition of a Random Forest + XGBoost + Logistic Regression ensemble for bearing fault detection, yielding four uncertainty indicators: top‑class evidence (T‑hat), best‑competitor evidence (F‑hat), predictive entropy (I1‑hat), and decision disagreement (I2‑hat). Evaluated on CWRU and JNU benchmarks under a leave‑one‑condition‑out protocol, the ensemble achieves perfect accuracy on most CWRU loads but performs poorly on JNU, where Logistic Regression outperforms the tree ensembles. Additional experiments show that fusing time‑ and frequency‑domain models and using Jensen‑Shannon divergence improves uncertainty estimation, and that envelope‑spectrum features can separate fault classes with 99.57 % accuracy on CWRU. "whyItMatters":"The study demonstrates that refined neutrosophic uncertainty indicators can reveal limitations of conventional confidence scores and guide more reliable fault detection in variable‑speed industrial settings."

arXiv AI
Sep 25

A Multi-level Information Integration Framework for Physically Verifiable Fault Diagnosis of Rotating Machinery

The paper proposes a Diagnostic Evidence Network (DENet) that augments traditional fault‑diagnosis outputs with structured evidence, including classification, predicted characteristic frequency, and temporal localization of impulses. This evidence aligns with theoretical bearing physics and can be validated at inference time, achieving high AUROC for misclassification detection without sacrificing accuracy. A QLoRA‑adapted language model then translates DENet’s evidence into maintenance reports, markedly reducing unsupported claims.

By Yuntong Chen, Jianyu Liu, Yingqi Li, Guobin Zhao, Ziang Wang, Chao Chen, Xitian Tian, Lijiang Huang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

A Hybrid Two-Stage Machine Learning Pipeline for Fault Detection and Classification in Power Transmission Systems

The paper introduces a hybrid two‑stage machine learning pipeline for fault detection and classification in high‑voltage transmission networks. Stage 1 uses an Isolation Forest anomaly detector combined with an optional supervised binary detector, while Stage 2 applies a Random Forest multiclass classifier only to samples flagged by Stage 1. Feature engineering maps six raw channels to eighteen features, including zero‑sequence symmetrical components, achieving end‑to‑end accuracies of 95.8 % on the TLFaultDataset and 97.25 % on an independent single‑point dataset, surpassing federated benchmarks without GPU or federated infrastructure.

By Sahil Manikshete, Atharva Gujarathi, Thanh Long Vu, Akhtar Hussain, Van-Hai Bui
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Leakage-Robust Evaluation and Data-Scale Sensitivity of Attention-Enhanced Multi-Task Learning for Joint Fault Diagnosis and Remaining Useful Life Estimation

arXiv:2607. 16493v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-task deep learning models that jointly perform fault classification and remaining useful life (RUL) regression are increasingly used in predictive maintenance, yet reported performance can be strongly affected by how sliding-window sequences are split into training and test sets.

By Md Mahamudur Rahaman Shamim, Md. Nuruzzaman, Zannatul Ferdus, Md Rajib Ahmed, Abieer Nwshad Anward, Mohammad Tooneer, Johir Uddin Khan, Khalid Hossen
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Counterfactual Fragility Certificates: Exposing High-Confidence Brittleness under Structured Evidence Failure

The paper introduces Counterfactual Fragility Certificates (CFC), a model‑agnostic audit protocol that maps each prediction to an evidence‑failure trajectory, summarizing it with metrics such as greedy flip budget, margin‑collapse area, degradation thresholds, and fragility dominance score. CFC is shown to identify brittle high‑confidence predictions on seven tabular benchmarks with an AUROC of 0.915, outperforming existing scalar scores by up to +0.405. The method remains effective across various perturbation and review‑budget scenarios, and can also inform fragility‑aware regularization and temperature correction.

By Filippo Cenacchi, Longbing Cao, Runze Yang