arXiv:2608. 05859v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Interpretable classification often requires more than accurate predictions for real-life deployment: models should be transparent about the evidence behind their decisions and abstain when they cannot decide reliably.
arXiv:2608. 15565v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Experience-learning agents for optimization modeling improve by storing verified skills, but existing learners admit knowledge by checking against known answers, which real ticket streams do not provide.
RCProb is a probabilistic extension of rule extraction from tree ensembles that improves probability estimates by using smoothed atomic class-conditional evidence and a support‑adaptive mixture for final rule probabilities. Compared to RuleCOSI+, RCProb reduces median paired log‑loss by 71.9% for random forests and 62.5% for gradient boosting, while also decreasing the number of extracted rules by about 38% for both ensemble types. The method shows significant improvements in calibration metrics such as Confidence‑ECE and competitive native probability estimates, with further gains possible through post‑hoc calibration.
arXiv:2608. 15725v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive models in clinical and regulated settings must be accurate and fully auditable.
arXiv:2609.26839v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Post-hoc probability calibration is usually evaluated under an optimistic assumption: the held-out calibration labels are clean. In many AI deploymen...
arXiv:2606. 29091v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tabular foundation models cannot reason about data produced by running systems without access to the rules that govern them.
HydroJEV is a training‑free, one‑second model that classifies SCADA alarms in water distribution networks into cyberattack, physical fault, normal transient, or faulty sensor. In a benchmark on the C‑Town EPANET network, HydroJEV matched a hand‑written rule tree and outperformed a supervised classifier, especially when few labeled events were available, while being 20‑40 times faster than large language models. When combined with a rule tree gate, it reduced the need for human review by about a third without sacrificing accuracy.
arXiv:2606. 15153v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Selective prediction with distribution-free risk control promises that, with confidence 1-delta over the calibration draw, the error rate of accepted inputs stays below a user budget alpha.
The paper investigates four ways to grow a classifier—adding a tree level, a hidden unit, a leaf split, and a statistically significant split—under a fixed protocol for tree‑structured and constructive models. It shows that the most natural method of deepening a soft decision tree by duplicating a leaf’s class distribution leaves the gradient of new gates identically zero, preventing learning, and proposes a small random perturbation as a fix. The other three growth decisions each provide a distinct benefit: fitting a new hidden unit to residual error yields a smaller network, splitting the leaf with the largest expected error adds sparsity, and requiring statistical significance before splitting adds no value and reduces accuracy.
arXiv:2605. 27618v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Despite the wide use of explainability techniques to attempt to understand the behavior of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the generated explanations may not always be reliable.
arXiv:2608. 10007v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The current state-of-the-art (SOTA) deep randomized neural networks, such as deep Random Vector Functional Link (dRVFL) and ensemble deep RVFL (edRVFL), treat all training samples uniformly, which limits their robustness and effectiveness when applied to real-world datasets containing noise and outliers.
arXiv:2607. 06799v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Evaluating uncertainty in AI-generated SQL queries requires estimating whether a query is correct, where correct means it executes to the same result as a human-written reference.
arXiv:2607. 05806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training data for machine learning is routinely collected by a selection process the model never sees: loans are observed only when granted, outcomes only when a test was ordered.