arXiv Machine Learning

ReAugment: Model Zoo-Guided RL for Few-Shot Time Series Augmentation and Forecasting

arXiv:2409. 06282v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting, particularly in few-shot learning scenarios, is challenging due to the limited availability of high-quality training data.

arXiv AI
Oct 9

ROAR: Retrieval Opportunity-Aware Refinement for Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasting

ROAR is a Retrieval Opportunity-Aware Refinement framework designed for zero-shot time series forecasting. It enhances predictions by weighting queries according to base-forecast difficulty and the improvement potential of retrieved historical candidates, then learning a gate to control correction strength. The method jointly calibrates the forecasting module and gate, anchoring the final prediction to an initial refined output, and achieves the lowest average MSE across seven benchmarks compared to other methods.

By Jinjin Chi, Lei Feng, Yiming Wang, Lulu Zhang, Yongcheng Jing, Chenyi Li, Ximing Li
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10

PatchFormer: A Patch-Based Time Series Foundation Model with Hierarchical Masked Reconstruction and Cross-Domain Transfer Learning for Zero-Shot Multi-Horizon Forecasting

arXiv:2601.20845v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series forecasting is a fundamental problem with applications in climate, energy, healthcare, and finance. Many existing approaches require do...

By Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov, Derya Umut Kulali, Taner Yilmaz
arXiv AI
Oct 19

CastFlow: Bridging Evidence Acquisition and Accurate Prediction in Agentic Time Series Forecasting

CastFlow is a role‑specialized agentic forecasting framework that combines general‑purpose tool reasoning with specialized temporal forecasting. It uses an Experience Memory to guide a frozen LLM in acquiring evidence via a multi‑view toolkit, then a lightweight specialized LLM refines predictions through evidence‑grounded reasoning. The two‑stage training strategy—supervised fine‑tuning followed by reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards—optimizes the specialized model based on final forecasting outcomes, achieving superior performance on nine out of ten real‑world benchmarks.

By Bokai Pan, Mingyue Cheng, Xiaoyu Tao, Zhiding Liu, Shuo Yu, Yuchong Wu, Qi Liu, Defu Lian, Enhong Chen