arXiv Machine Learning

On the Effect of Uncertainty on Layer-wise Inference Dynamics

arXiv:2507. 06722v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding how large language models (LLMs) internally represent and process their predictions is central to detecting uncertainty and preventing hallucinations.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Quantifying Aleatoric Uncertainty of In-Context Learning for Robust Measure of LLM Prediction Confidence

arXiv:2606. 19353v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern: predictions are highly sensitive to both prompt design and the model's ability to understand the context, obscuring whether failures arise from data properties or model limitations.

By Jinseok Chung, Minkyoung Song, Hyunji Jung, Namhoon Lee
arXiv AI
Jul 7

The Anatomy of Uncertainty in LLMs

arXiv:2603. 24967v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Understanding why a large language model (LLM) is uncertain about the response is important for their reliable deployment.

By Aditya Taparia, Ransalu Senanayake, Kowshik Thopalli, Vivek Narayanaswamy
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 23

Reading Calibrated Uncertainty from Language Model Trajectories

arXiv:2605. 22864v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The maximum softmax probability (MSP) represents a default approach when evaluating uncertainty quantification for language model generation with structured output.

By Aliai Eusebi, Alexander Herzog, Xiaoyu Liang, Marie Vasek, Enrico Mariconti, Lorenzo Cavallaro
arXiv AI
Aug 5

UHP Detection: LVLMs have their Unique Hallucination Pattern in the Consistency Space

arXiv:2608. 03817v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large vision--language models (LVLMs) demonstrate strong multimodal reasoning capabilities but remain prone to hallucination, where model predictions are not grounded in visual evidence.

By Amir Mohammad Ezzati, Kiyan Rezaee, Bardiya Kariminia, Mohamad Amin Yousefi, Asal Mohammadjafari Mamaqani, Behrad Samimi, Mohammad Hossein Rohban
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 22

The Origins of Stochasticity: Comprehensive Investigations on Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled sophisticated reasoning and content generation, yet their inherent stochasticity poses significant challenges for ensuring predictive credibility. While traditional uncertainty taxonomy paradigms, such as the dichotomy of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, provide conceptual foundations, they often fail to capture the multi-component and multi-stage nature of LLM generation and struggle to evaluate the effectiveness of various Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods.

arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Language models suffer from a curse of ambiguity

arXiv:2608. 15448v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models increasingly rely on sampling as a driver of their own improvement, making the fidelity of their learned distributions more critical than ever.

By Nicolas Zucchet, Hyun Dong Lee, Scott Linderman