Hugging Face Trending Papers

Surrogate assisted diversity estimation in neural ensemble search

Ensembles are a standard way to improve the performance and robustness of deep neural networks, but their effectiveness crucially depends on both the quality and the diversity of individual models. Most neural architecture search (NAS) methods are computationally expensive.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 29

Diversity is the Strength of the AI Crowd

Top AI forecasting systems are approaching superforecaster-level accuracy on future world events, but still rely primarily on off-the-shelf LLMs combined with forecasting-specific context gathering and scaffolding. We study how to improve this recipe through ensembling: given a fixed number of samples, which off-the-shelf model forecasts should be combined to maximize accuracy?

arXiv AI
Jun 30

Diversity is the Strength of the AI Crowd

arXiv:2606. 29661v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Top AI forecasting systems are approaching superforecaster-level accuracy on future world events, but still rely primarily on off-the-shelf LLMs combined with forecasting-specific context gathering and scaffolding.

By Matthew Aitchison, Scott Jeen, Toby Shevlane, Ben Day
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 7

Efficient Bayesian Deep Ensembles via Analytic Predictive Inference

We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency. Our method combines the statistical rigor of Bayesian inference with the scalability of deep ensembles, providing calibrated uncertainty estimates that enable its use not only for standalone prediction but also as a component within broader learning systems.