arXiv:2605.23632v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: We introduce Gaussian Mixture Copula Processes (GMCP), a conditional copula process for irregularly sampled multivariate time series (IMTS) that is...
By Christian Kl\"otergens, Tom Hanika, Lars Schmidt-Thieme, Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi
arXiv:2607. 03487v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Mutual information (MI) estimation is a central problem in machine learning and statistics; however, existing benchmarks typically evaluate estimators on simplified, low-dimensional distributions, leaving their performance on complex, realistic data largely unexplored.
By Alberto Foresti, Ivan Butakov, Alexander Tolmachev, Giulio Franzese, Alexey Frolov, Pietro Michiardi
arXiv:2508. 13831v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Functional data, i.
By Jianbin Tan, Anru R. Zhang
arXiv:2607. 25020v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vine copulas provide a flexible framework for modeling complex multivariate distributions through a hierarchical decomposition into bivariate pair-copulas.
By Nicholas Andrea Pearson, Francesca Zanello, Davide Russo, Luca Bortolussi, Francesca Cairoli
Vine copulas provide a flexible framework for modeling complex multivariate distributions through a hierarchical decomposition into bivariate pair-copulas. Fitting a D-vine requires selecting a copula family and parameter configuration for each pair-copula from a set of candidates encoding different dependence patterns.
arXiv:2609. 36142v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In Bayesian inference problems with non-Gaussian observation noise, the posterior is only as accurate as the noise density, and gradient-based samplers need that density and its gradient evaluable pointwise, whether from an explicit expression or from code, and without an inner solve.
By Joshua Chen, Peter Jan van Leeuwen
arXiv:2502. 19460v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Dependent censoring occurs when the event time and censoring time are not conditionally independent given the observed covariates.
By Christian Marius Lillelund, Shi-ang Qi, Russell Greiner
arXiv:2606. 30230v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Learned reconstruction operators for inverse problems are typically trained under a fixed noise model, and generalize poorly when the distribution during testing differs from the one assumed during training.
By Floor van Maarschalkerwaart, Subhadip Mukherjee, Christoph Brune, Marcello Carioni
arXiv:2606. 26592v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose latent-space diffusion posterior sampling (L-DPS), an approximate Bayesian framework for high-dimensional inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs).
By Yuanzhe Wang, Alexandre M. Tartakovsky
arXiv:2603. 12507v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Minimising a spectral risk objective, defined as a weighted combination of expected cost and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), is challenging when the uncertainty distribution is decision-dependent, making both surrogate modelling and simulation-based ranking sensitive to tail estimation error.
By Marcell T. Kurbucz
PosteriorBench is a new benchmark that evaluates how well generative inverse solvers recover full posterior distributions rather than just a single reconstruction. It tests four physics-based inverse problems—Darcy flow inversion, Poisson source recovery, carbon capture and storage, and light transport material inference—using high-fidelity reference posteriors generated by rejection sampling and MCMC. The benchmark employs five metrics (posterior-mean error, posterior-standard-deviation error, maximum mean discrepancy, sliced Wasserstein distance, and radially averaged power-spectrum error) to assess pointwise accuracy, uncertainty, distributional alignment, and global frequency fidelity, revealing significant distribution-matching gaps in current solvers and highlighting the importance of neural operators, guidance weights, and generation noise for posterior-variance calibration.
By Jiachen Yao, Zi-Siang Hsu, Xi Deng, Aditi Gupta, Xin Ju, Sally M Benson, Gege Wen, Anima Anandkumar
The paper presents Copula Adapted Directed Acyclic Graph (CopDAG), a framework that combines copula models with an ensemble of causal structure discovery methods based on Directed Acyclic Graphs to represent biomedical data. By capturing non‑Gaussian, non‑linear dependencies and stable causal relationships, CopDAG enables clustering of unlabeled biomedical data using K‑means. Across 16 biomedical datasets, CopDAG achieves the highest normalized clustering accuracy and adjusted Rand index among 12 evaluated methods, and it can predict class labels and provide explainable causal visualizations without relying on data annotations.
By Heranga K. Rathnasekara, Norou Diawara, Manar D. Samad