arXiv:2603. 12507v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Minimising a spectral risk objective, defined as a weighted combination of expected cost and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), is challenging when the uncertainty distribution is decision-dependent, making both surrogate modelling and simulation-based ranking sensitive to tail estimation error.
arXiv:2607. 23721v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributional random forests replace mean-based CART splitting with criteria that compare the full conditional response distribution in candidate children.
Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) for Random Forest faces a specific difficulty in tuning the number of trees: the predictive score typically improves monotonically with ensemble size, so standard methods such as Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) and Hyperband require a predefined search range and often drive the estimate toward its right boundary. Early-stopping strategies avoid fixing such a range, but can be sensitive to score noise and prone to premature stopping.
arXiv:2606. 03549v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) for Random Forest faces a specific difficulty in tuning the number of trees: the predictive score typically improves monotonically with ensemble size, so standard methods such as Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) and Hyperband require a predefined search range and often drive the estimate toward its right boundary.
arXiv:2607. 01417v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conditional inference trees (CIT) and conditional inference forests (CIF) reduce split-selection bias by testing features before choosing split thresholds, but repeated permutation tests and threshold searches can make these methods computationally expensive.
arXiv:2608.29765v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Structured pruning uses surrogate objectives because direct task evaluation over every feasible mask is too expensive. Most evaluations report average...
arXiv:2609.24528v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Random forests (RFs) predict well but are opaque, whereas single decision trees are interpretable but unstable. Artificial representative trees (ARTs...
arXiv:2608. 07859v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Preferential Bayesian optimization (PBO) optimizes objectives accessible only through pairwise user comparisons.
arXiv:2606. 08517v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Selective predictors answer on confident inputs and abstain elsewhere; deploying one safely needs a single finite-sample certificate that simultaneously upper-bounds the selected risk, lower-bounds the acceptance probability $\pacc$ above a floor $\pmin$, and lower-bounds the deployment utility.
arXiv:2606. 00862v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) have been widely used for expensive black-box optimization problems.
arXiv:2609. 30085v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In multi-target regression, correlated targets are often coupled through multi-output Gaussian processes with an intrinsic model of coregionalisation (GP-ICM), assuming that sharing statistical strength improves overall performance.
arXiv:2608. 08826v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Adaptive procedures must work without nuisance information an oracle may use, such as a gradient scale or smoothness index, and robust procedures may have to answer queries whose coordinate and inspection time are chosen only after the data are seen.
GEAR is a two‑stage framework that distills tabular foundation models into lightweight MLP or tree‑based predictors for efficient CPU deployment. In the first stage, synthetic covariates are used as teacher‑query locations to train the student on soft TFM targets, expanding coverage beyond observed rows. The second stage re‑anchors the student to the target distribution using real labels and out‑of‑fold teacher predictions, preventing self‑labeling leakage and improving performance. Experiments on TALENT and TabArena show that GEAR‑distilled MLPs outperform supervised MLPs by up to 2.00 AUC points on binary tasks and 1.35 on multiclass tasks, and also outperform CatBoost, while dramatically reducing inference time and memory usage.