arXiv:2606. 14116v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Differential Time-Varying Effect Model (DTVEM) of Jacobson et al.
arXiv:2608. 01587v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine-learning benchmarks often pair a label that aggregates a long temporal horizon with input observed through one or a few short windows.
arXiv:2606. 15784v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is often described through the amyloid-tau-neurodegeneration, or AT(N), cascade.
Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is often described through the amyloid-tau-neurodegeneration, or AT(N), cascade. However, most longitudinal models represent this cascade either as a fixed sequence of biomarkers or as a black-box forecasting task.
arXiv:2608.29428v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Single-trial EEG analyses are often organized around events and latencies, yet EEG-based reaction-time (RT) prediction is posed as scalar regression on...
The paper introduces Neural ODE-LMM, a hybrid model that integrates a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation into a linear mixed‑effects framework to flexibly learn time‑varying associations between exposures and outcomes. By encoding covariate trajectories into a continuous‑time latent state, the method preserves standard likelihood inference while capturing complex, potentially cumulative effects without pre‑specifying functional forms. Simulations demonstrate accurate recovery of instantaneous and cumulative effects, and application to the 3C cohort uncovers BMI and fasting glucose trajectories linked to cognitive decline.
WELD is the first dataset that combines long‑term (30.1 months), naturalistic workplace recordings, a stable small‑team social structure, and a fully passive sensing protocol approved by institutional review boards. It contains 733,780 per‑frame seven‑class facial‑expression probability vectors from 49 employees of a Chinese software company, making it the longest in‑the‑wild emotion corpus that supports both within‑individual longitudinal and within‑team relational analyses. The authors validate the corpus by reproducing known affective phenomena and report four novel findings, including variance decomposition of daily valence, hidden Markov emotional regimes, turnover prediction metrics, and systematic over‑prediction of “angry” on neutral Asian faces by an off‑the‑shelf FER model.
arXiv:2607. 27224v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: External and synthetic control arms (ECAs) are entering psychiatric drug development, but the field lacks a benchmark that evaluates the properties regulators care about: not only how accurately a method reconstructs untreated trajectories, but whether its uncertainty is calibrated, whether it is robust to the informative observation times common in mental-health records (sicker patients are seen more often), and what false-positive rate it induces in go/no-go trial decisions.
arXiv:2607. 27263v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Most benchmarks for causal inference over time series are observational, small, or domain-specific, leaving interventional and counterfactual estimation under-served exactly where it matters most, such as in healthcare, policy evaluation, and climate science.
arXiv:2408. 12792v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Event detection turns long recordings into a sparse set of ranked timestamps.
arXiv:2606. 27286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mechanistic epidemiological models are widely used to support infectious disease forecasting and public-health decision making.
arXiv:2601. 07988v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: While NLP typically treats documents as independent and unordered samples, in longitudinal studies, this assumption rarely holds: documents are nested within authors and ordered in time, forming person-indexed, time-ordered $\textit{behavioral sequences}$.
arXiv:2608. 07518v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Longitudinal, in-the-wild, wearable sensing yields day-level physiology, sleep, activity, and environmental streams, whereas affect and cognition are labeled only episodically (per waves).