arXiv Machine Learning

From Seasonality to Semantics: Benchmarking a Hybrid Probabilistic Forecasting System for Roadblocks in Bolivia

arXiv:2607. 21785v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Roadblocks in Bolivia are a social conflict phenomenon with devastating economic impacts, estimated at losses equivalent to 4% of the national Gross Domestic Product.

arXiv AI
1d ago

ReasonCast: Agentic Demand Forecasting with Selective Semantic Reasoning

arXiv:2608. 15291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Demand forecasting increasingly requires combining two complementary sources of information: historical sales reveal recurring numerical dynamics, while future promotions, holidays, price changes, and platform interventions provide forward-looking knowledge.

By Ziyue Yang, Chaolin Xu, Yijing Wang, Tiankai Gu, Hui Yang, Yanhong Lin, Kaiyuan Liu, Fei Xiao
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Foundation Models and Fine-Tuning: Toward a New Generation of Models for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 23146v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Inspired by recent breakthroughs in large language models for natural language processing, foundation models have emerged as a promising paradigm for zero-shot time series forecasting, enabling accurate predictions on datasets never seen during pre-training.

By Morad Laglil, Bertrand Pracca, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier
arXiv Machine Learning
23h ago

TiMi: Empower Time Series Transformers with Multimodal Mixture of Experts

arXiv:2602. 21693v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multimodal time series forecasting has garnered significant attention for its potential to provide more accurate predictions than traditional single-modality models by leveraging rich information inherent in other modalities.

By Jiafeng Lin, Yuxuan Wang, Huakun Luo, Jianmin Wang, Zhongyi Pei