arXiv:2512. 13997v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Existing two-sample testing techniques, particularly those based on choosing a kernel for the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), often assume equal sample sizes from the two distributions.
arXiv:2604. 11305v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal selection (CS) uses calibration data to identify test inputs whose unobserved outcomes are likely to satisfy a pre-specified minimal quality requirement, while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR).
arXiv:2605. 20726v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Modern applications of conformal inference to multiple testing problems, such as outlier detection and candidate selection, often involve selecting test samples whose conformal p-values fall below a threshold.
arXiv:2609.14170v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Distributed multiple testing asks $N$ sites to control a global false discovery rate (FDR) under a tight communication budget. The greedy interval-ag...
arXiv:2504. 19952v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present two general lower bounds for stopping times of sequential tests between arbitrary composite nulls $\mathcal P$ and alternatives $\mathcal Q$.
The paper introduces a new estimand for conditional distributional treatment effects that captures how treatments influence the entire outcome distribution, including variance and tail risks, in a covariate-dependent manner. It presents a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal locally and uses it to construct a test for global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions. The test accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy, guarantees valid type‑1 error, is consistent against fixed alternatives, and includes a computationally efficient, permutation‑free algorithm with exact closed‑form expressions for two natural discrepancies.
arXiv:2609.27766v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In safe hypothesis testing with test supermartingals, Ville's inequality provides anytime-valid type-I error guarantees for every significance level...
arXiv:2505. 20178v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a popular strategy for combining gold-standard and possibly noisy pseudo-labels to perform statistical estimation.
arXiv:2609.09245v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Repeated-sampling evaluations increasingly extrapolate pass@k far beyond the number n of samples collected per problem. We show that, in the pooled/ran...
arXiv:2601. 21959v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We develop a near-optimal testing procedure under the framework of Gaussian differential privacy for simple as well as one- and two-sided tests under monotone likelihood ratio conditions.
arXiv:2606. 17426v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider the concentration properties of functions of infinitely exchangeable random variables.
The paper introduces "confidence horizons", a new class of statistical tools that provide sharper large‑sample anytime‑valid inference when a finite time horizon is imposed. These objects function as large‑sample confidence sequences limited to a bounded number of interim looks, analogous to group sequential repeated confidence intervals. The authors connect confidence horizons to classic group sequential boundaries (Pocock, O’Brien–Fleming, Wang–Tsiatis), derive closed‑form distribution functions for certain statistics, and demonstrate their application to treatment effect estimation in sequentially randomized experiments with adaptive Neyman allocation.