arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10
Prediction-Powered Active Testing
arXiv:2607. 08347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Active testing provides a label--efficient approach to risk estimation by adaptively selecting which test points should be labelled.
No Free Lunch: Non-Asymptotic Analysis of Prediction-Powered Inference
arXiv:2505. 20178v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a popular strategy for combining gold-standard and possibly noisy pseudo-labels to perform statistical estimation.
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arXiv AI
Aug 20
Debiased Inference for AI-Generated Data without Gold-Standard Labels: Identification via Multiple Imperfect Measurements
The paper introduces Debiased Inference with Multiple Imperfect Measurements (DMM), a framework that uses several error‑prone AI measurements to perform valid downstream statistical inference without requiring costly gold‑standard labels. By assuming conditional independence of the measurements given the true label and unit‑level features, DMM leverages CP decomposition and semiparametric theory to prove consistency and asymptotic normality of its estimator. Simulations demonstrate that DMM yields valid inference and can improve efficiency when additional imperfect measurements are available, and the authors provide diagnostics for the key independence assumption.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11
Demystifying Prediction Powered Inference
arXiv:2601. 20819v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning predictions are increasingly used to supplement incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in fields such as biomedical research, environmental science, and social science.
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago
How many labelers do you have? A closer look at gold-standard labels
The paper examines the common practice of aggregating multiple labels per instance into a single ‘true’ label for supervised learning. By creating a theoretical model, the authors show that using the full, non‑aggregated label information can make it easier to train well‑calibrated models, though the benefits depend on the specific problem. They predict when non‑aggregated labels will improve learning and validate these predictions on real datasets.
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 9
Prediction-Powered Active Testing
Active testing provides a label--efficient approach to risk estimation by adaptively selecting which test points should be labelled. However, existing estimators fail to exploit the informative predictions of powerful black--box models, even though such predictions are increasingly available in settings where labels remain expensive.
arXiv AI
Jul 23
Generative Augmented Inference of LLM-generated Data for Market Research: Theory and Empirical Evidence
arXiv:2604. 14575v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Marketing research often relies on parameters estimated from costly human-generated data, such as conjoint survey responses, purchase decisions, and field experiment outcomes.
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 1
Prediction-Powered Conditional Inference
arXiv:2603.05575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a blac...
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3
Bayes-Optimal BER and AUC: Estimation and Evaluation of Estimators
The paper introduces soft‑label‑based estimators for the Bayes‑optimal balanced error rate (BER) and area under the ROC curve (AUC), extending from a clean setting with known class priors to a realistic scenario with unknown priors and corrupted soft labels. It also adapts the FeeBee evaluation framework to assess these estimators without needing the true optimum, providing practical evaluation scores for any estimator of optimal BER or AUC. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets confirm the effectiveness of both the estimators and the evaluation method.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25
Robust Linear Predictions: Analyses of Uniform Concentration, Fast Rates and Model Misspecification
arXiv:2201. 01973v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The problem of linear predictions has been extensively studied for the past century under pretty generalized frameworks.
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25
Stability and Accuracy Trade-offs in Statistical Estimation
arXiv:2601.11701v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small ch...
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 24
Doubly robust inference via calibration
arXiv:2411.02771v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While c...
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10
Robust Regression of General ReLUs with Queries
arXiv:2606. 11130v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study the task of agnostically learning general (as opposed to homogeneous) ReLUs under the Gaussian distribution with respect to the squared loss.