arXiv:2608.23728v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Satellite orbit prediction, which aims to forecast future orbital trajectories from historical observations, is important for collision warning and saf...
The paper presents a chance-constrained belief-space planning framework for autonomous collision avoidance in low Earth orbit. It models uncertain orbital states as Gaussian beliefs and uses a Monte Carlo tree search to decide whether to wait for better tracking data or to execute a maneuver before the time of closest approach. Experiments on 96 scenarios from NASA’s dataset show that the planner can avoid maneuvers in about 40% of cases while keeping collision risk below the threshold, with performance heavily dependent on tracking quality and cadence.
arXiv:2608. 09628v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Collision avoidance systems are commonly used to avoid fragmentation events occurring in Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) and Geosynchronous Equatorial Orbit (GEO).
AsyncCouple-Flow introduces a new framework for multi‑modal spatio‑temporal forecasting that tackles three key challenges: differing sampling rates, missing modalities, and autoregressive error accumulation. It employs a Modality‑Aware Token Sparsification module to produce equal‑length sequences, an Asynchronous Cross‑Modal Coupling Graph to fuse data under arbitrary asynchrony and missingness, and a Flow‑Matching Forecasting Head that models multi‑step prediction as a conditional ODE. Experiments on weather and traffic datasets demonstrate that the method outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines and remains robust even when up to two modalities are missing.
arXiv:2607. 23018v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Nonstationary Gaussian process (GP) models are powerful tools for capturing input-dependent variability by adapting to observed data.
arXiv:2608. 00012v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated.
arXiv:2606. 10069v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper we build upon a previous study in which we demonstrated, using XGBoost and earthquake catalogue data from Japan and Chile, that a set of 60 seismic statistical features (SSFs) had much greater predictive value than a set of 428 generic time series features from the tsfresh package.
arXiv:2606. 29644v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Earth system infrastructures relying on satellite-based technologies, such as Global Positioning System (GPS) communications, are affected by ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) gradients.
arXiv:2606. 02886v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning weather models now match numerical weather prediction accuracy while running orders of magnitude faster, but produce deterministic forecasts without uncertainty estimates, a critical gap for high-stakes decisions during extreme weather events.
arXiv:2511. 01592v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy estimation is critical to impact identification on aerospace composites, where low-velocity impacts can induce internal damage that is undetectable at the surface.
arXiv:2607. 21745v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Radar cross-section (RCS) modeling is foundational to advancing the utility and sensitivity of spaceborne radar systems.
arXiv:2606. 25122v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Autonomous aerial vehicles operating in shared airspace must predict the future positions of non-cooperative obstacles to plan evasive maneuvers before a collision becomes unavoidable.