arXiv Machine Learning

OpFML: Pipeline for ML-based Operational Inference

arXiv:2601. 11046v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning models for climate and Earth science are becoming increasingly capable, yet model deployment into operational use remains a largely unaddressed challenge: general-purpose model-serving tools, such as MLflow and KServe, assume input data availability at the inference node, while data acquisition, failure handling, and preprocessing are trusted to a separate workflow.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 31

Bridging AI and Energy Forecasting: An Autonomous Workflow with Customized Toolkit

arXiv:2307. 07191v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Energy forecasting is crucial for the power grid, but fundamentally different from general time series analysis: it highly relies on covariates like meteorological factors, and its goals must align with actual power grid operations, such as risk assessment and system reliability.

By Zhixian Wang, Leandro Von Krannichfeldt, Qingsong Wen, Chaoli Zhang, Liang Sun, Shirui Pan, Yi Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Huracan: A skillful end-to-end data-driven system for ensemble data assimilation and weather prediction

arXiv:2508. 18486v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP).

By Zekun Ni, Jonathan Weyn, Hang Zhang, Yanfei Xiang, Jiang Bian, Weixin Jin, Kit Thambiratnam, Qi Zhang, Haiyu Dong, Hongyu Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry

arXiv:2607. 20778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weather forecasting foundation models (FMs) are increasingly fine-tuned to predict air quality, offering fast global pollution forecasts at lower computational cost than conventional chemical transport models.

By Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm, Makoto M. Kelp
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 22

STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research. However, machine-learning models are highly sensitive to both the characteristics of the training data, such as its distribution, and methodological choices, including the cross-validation strategy.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Benchmarking Physics-Informed Time-Series Models for Operational Global Station Weather Forecasting

arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.

By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 22

Post-Training in Time Series Foundation Models: A Unifying Framework

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have emerged as general-purpose models for time series analysis, but pretraining alone is often insufficient for reliable downstream deployment. Bridging this gap requires further intervention to handle domain shift, task heterogeneity, limited supervision, and computational constraints, which motivates post-training as a broad class of methods to adapt, augment, compose, calibrate, or specialize pretrained TSFMs for downstream tasks.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

How Can Machine Learning Emulators Best Support Climate Science?

arXiv:2603. 22320v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making.

By Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

STeMP: Spatio-Temporal Modelling Protocol

arXiv:2607. 20592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research.

By Jan Linnenbrink, Jakub Nowosad, Marvin Ludwig, Anna Frederike Jablotschkin, Fabian Schumacher, Teja Kattenborn, Hanna Meyer
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 13

Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction

arXiv:2604. 16238v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes.

By Hannah Guan, Soukayna Mouatadid, Paulo Orenstein, Judah Cohen, Haiyu Dong, Zekun Ni, Jeremy Berman, Genevieve Flaspohler, Alex Lu, Jakob Schloer, Joshua Talib, Jonathan A. Weyn, Lester Mackey