arXiv:2607. 23860v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep ensembles provide the most reliable uncertainty estimates in deep learning, but their cost grows linearly with the number of members.
arXiv:2608. 10372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-hoc calibration aligns a classifier's predicted confidences with its empirical accuracy without retraining.
arXiv:2607. 28248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical domains demands reliable estimates of predictive confidence, yet conventional architectures lack principled uncertainty quantification.
arXiv:2607. 06776v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency.
We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency. Our method combines the statistical rigor of Bayesian inference with the scalability of deep ensembles, providing calibrated uncertainty estimates that enable its use not only for standalone prediction but also as a component within broader learning systems.
arXiv:2606. 16214v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern deep learning models remain notoriously prone to overconfidence, limiting their reliability in high-stakes applications.
arXiv:2608. 01090v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) are attractive for resource-constrained remote-sensing systems, but reliable out-of-distribution (OOD) detection remains challenging.
arXiv:2609.08412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine-learning weather models (MLWMs) now match or outperform operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) at global medium-range forecasting, at f...
arXiv:2602. 08142v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning applications require fast and reliable per-sample uncertainty estimation.
CORE-STACK+ is a new meta‑learning framework for deep stacked generalization that tackles two key problems in heterogeneous vision ensembles: prediction‑space multicollinearity and calibration collapse. It introduces a four‑step preconditioning pipeline—kernelized redundancy filtering, a lightweight differentiable meta‑feature gate, a spectrum‑adaptive ridge penalty, and a Laplace‑approximate Bayesian blender—to jointly improve conditioning and calibration. Across six vision benchmarks, CORE‑STACK+ boosts accuracy, reduces model count and inference cost, and significantly lowers expected calibration error compared to existing methods.
arXiv:2602. 00387v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bayesian neural networks promise calibrated uncertainty but require $O(mn)$ parameters for standard mean-field Gaussian posteriors.
arXiv:2412. 18980v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the presence of noise (aleatoric uncertainty).
VICAL is a framework for long‑tailed visual recognition that focuses on reducing prediction variance rather than increasing expert diversity. It combines Self‑Consistency Learning, which smooths the loss landscape and mitigates overfitting on tail classes, with Deep Ensemble Distillation, which encourages low‑frequency semantic agreement across experts. Experiments on CIFAR‑LT, ImageNet‑LT, and iNaturalist 2018 demonstrate that VICAL consistently outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods.