The study evaluates deep learning surrogates for wildfire spread prediction, training four architectures on 10,584 high‑resolution simulations from Catalonia. Results show that only surface fuel load significantly predicts burn probability, and convolutional models mainly use distance to the fire front while a transformer model emphasizes fuel and terrain. When applied to a new region without retraining, the models still perform reasonably, with only a modest accuracy drop.
By Marcin Lawenda, Aleksandra Krasicka, David Caballero, Luis Torres, {\L}ukasz Szustak
arXiv:2607. 16472v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past decades, the frequency of global wildfires has been increasing steadily.
By Yugong Zeng, Jonathan Wu
arXiv:2606.10174v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Wildfire detection and monitoring are critical for mitigating fire spread and reducing environmental and infrastructural damage. In this work, we i...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Yingyi Luo, B. Ugur Toreyin, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ugur Gudukbay, Ahmet Enis Cetin
The paper presents modular deep learning augmentations for next‑day wildfire spread prediction, including wind‑ and slope‑conditioned attention biases, physics‑feature retrieval‑augmented output correction, and fire‑conditioned dual‑stream gating. These modules are evaluated on five backbone models using the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, with staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The best augmented SwinUNETR model achieves an F1 score of 0.4216 and an AUC‑PR of 0.3673, while a mixed ensemble reaches 0.4292 and 0.3790, demonstrating that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality can be simultaneously improved.
By Miguel Esparza, Aydin Ayanzadeh Ahmad Mousavi, Ali Mostafavi
The paper proposes a data-driven protocol that uses multispectral Landsat‑8 imagery and connected‑component analysis to characterize fire‑region size distributions for active wildfire segmentation. Three segmentation architectures—U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer—are evaluated under different SWIR‑based spectral configurations, with U‑Net showing the strongest robustness and SWIR2 consistently delivering the best results. The study highlights the importance of both spectral band selection and architectural design for robust satellite‑based active wildfire mapping, especially when training on low fire‑pixel density images.
By Matheus F. Kovaleski, Cristiano Premebida, Jo\~ao Ruivo Paulo
arXiv:2603.02465v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Machine learning-based wildfire detection has advanced significantly using deep learning models trained on large wildfire image and video dat...
By Emadeldeen Hamdan, Ahmad Faiz Tharima, Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir, Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa, Erdem Koyuncu, Adam J. Watts, Ahmet Enis Cetin
The article introduces an open image dataset for active‑fire segmentation in satellite imagery, comprising 2,148 image‑mask pairs from 25 California wildfires captured between July 2020 and August 2026. Each 512×512 pixel, three‑channel image is a Sentinel‑2 Level‑2A composite of bands B12, B11, and B8A, with a fixed linear rendering applied uniformly. Masks distinguish background, short‑wave‑infrared rule‑based active fire, and invalid observations, and the dataset includes chip‑level metadata, an incident‑disjoint split, and a mask‑blind analyst review of 233 test chips.
By Shreyan Mitra, Mohammadreza Narimani, Parastoo Farajpoor
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
The paper examines RGB‑infrared fusion for binary wildfire segmentation using UAV imagery on the FLAME3 dataset. It compares RGB and infrared baselines with three fusion strategies across U‑Net, DeepLabV3+, and SegFormer architectures. Results show thermal data dominates segmentation performance, and feature‑level fusion with transformer‑based models yields the best results.
By Matheus F. Kovaleski, Lu\'is Garrote, Cristiano Premebida, J\'er\^ome Mendes, Jo\~ao Ruivo Paulo
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
By Hailong Shu, Weiwei Song, Yue Wang, Jiping Zhang
arXiv:2609.38165v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: The landscape of satellite imagery time series datasets and boundary-pushing architectures for cropland segmentation has never been richer. However,...
By Joseph Metcalfe, Sara Sharifzadeh, Fabio Caraffini