This paper introduces a categorical account of infinitesimal causality in Frobenius Markov categories equipped with tangent-bundle semantics. IDC captures the infinitesimal layer in which interventions act as tangent deformations of copy/discard structure.
arXiv:2606. 19610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent work on Kan-Do-Calculus (KDC) has established that the boundary between passive observation and active intervention in causal inference is a category-theoretic bi-adjunction, with interventions modeled by left Kan extensions and conditioning by right Kan extensions.
By Sridhar Mahadevan
arXiv:2510. 16703v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The classical notion of causal effect identifiability is defined in terms of treatment and outcome variables.
By Yizuo Chen, Adnan Darwiche
arXiv:2608. 19831v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and structural causal models (SCMs) are the dominant frameworks for graphical causal reasoning, but they cannot adequately represent all real-world causal systems.
By Joris M. Mooij
arXiv:2608. 10664v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Relativity of Causal Knowledge (RCK) explains how a network of agents with different structural causal models can exchange causal knowledge through a shared interventionally consistent abstraction, or backbone.
By Fabrizio Russo, Mark Somers
arXiv:2606. 01184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many interventions alter the structure of an outcome distribution rather than its mean: they can split a population into disconnected regimes, create loops or holes, generate branches, or reorganize an outcome cloud while leaving the average response nearly unchanged.
By Usef Faghihi
The paper establishes a precise mathematical link between graph surgery and the do‑operator in deterministic acyclic structural causal models. It shows that deleting arrows in a graph corresponds exactly to replacing the associated mechanisms with constants, proving that “Graph(F^\iota)=Surg(Graph(F),T_\iota)”. The authors further characterize when this equality holds for the full graph, define the intervened model, and demonstrate how sequential interventions combine, concluding that an outcome depends only on interventions at its actual dependency ancestors.
By Satpreet Makhija
arXiv:2603. 08311v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study identifiability in continuous-time linear stationary stochastic differential equations with a known causal structure.
By Gijs van Seeventer, Saber Salehkaleybar
arXiv:2606. 08275v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When an LLM agent fails -- issues a refund it should not have, calls the wrong tool, leaks data -- existing tooling answers what happened (observability) or whether it passed (evaluation), but not which step caused the failure.
By Jaineet Shah
arXiv:2607. 22910v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pearl's structural causal model (SCM) framework, built on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and the do-calculus, is the dominant formal language for causal reasoning.
By Sergei V. Kalinin
arXiv:2605. 03268v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Here we introduce Partially Observed Structural Causal Models (POSCMs) as an extension of structural causal models (SCMs) to settings where upstream contexts co-determine both the interaction structure and downstream mechanisms on observed variables.
By Turan Orujlu, Jordan Matelsky, Martin V. Butz, Charley M. Wu, Konrad P. Kording
arXiv:2606. 00754v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce causal density functions: Radon-Nikodym derivatives that compare interventional laws to observational laws and therefore act as local density ratios for causal effects.
By Sridhar Mahadevan