arXiv AI

Meteorology-driven Causal Nowcasting of Fugitive Landfill Emissions Enables Proactive Public Health Response

arXiv:2608. 14254v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Fugitive emissions from waste sites increasingly expose communities to toxic and odorous gases, yet public-health responses remain largely retrospective, with episodes investigated only after residents have been exposed.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

Climate-resilient electric vehicle charging infrastructure for sustainable cities: An interpretable causal-ensemble framework for preventive maintenance and low-carbon mobility

arXiv:2607. 21444v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure is a cornerstone of sustainable, low-carbon cities, yet urban climate stress such as extreme heat, heavy precipitation, and humidity increasingly raises equipment fault risk and undermines the resilience of urban energy and mobility services.

By Cande Lian (School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China), Wentao Zeng (School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China), Jiabin Wu (School of Management, Foshan University, Foshan, China), Yiming Bie (School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun, China), Wei Zhou (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore)
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 23

Climate-resilient electric vehicle charging infrastructure for sustainable cities: An interpretable causal-ensemble framework for preventive maintenance and low-carbon mobility

Reliable electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure is a cornerstone of sustainable, low-carbon cities, yet urban climate stress such as extreme heat, heavy precipitation, and humidity increasingly raises equipment fault risk and undermines the resilience of urban energy and mobility services. Shifting operation from reactive repair to preventive maintenance depends on accurate, forward-looking fault-risk prediction, a task complicated by the heterogeneous time scales of physical, behavioral, contextual, and historical signals and by forecasting over a multi-week horizon.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Event-Based Early Warning of Vineyard Disease Risk from Environmental Time Series

The paper proposes an event-based approach to predict transitions into vineyard disease‑risk periods within a 3–7 day window, rather than daily disease status. It defines events only after a minimum disease‑free gap to reduce label fragmentation and uses multi‑year agro‑meteorological data to capture humidity, rainfall, temperature, and seasonal patterns. Experiments with XGBoost, LSTM, and TCN models show that this formulation improves short‑horizon warning, highlighting trade‑offs among recall, lead time, and false alerts.

By Ivica Dimitrovski, Ivan Kitanovski, Danco Davcev, Slobodan Kalajdziski, Kosta Mitreski
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 24

Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry

arXiv:2607. 20778v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weather forecasting foundation models (FMs) are increasingly fine-tuned to predict air quality, offering fast global pollution forecasts at lower computational cost than conventional chemical transport models.

By Jason Y. Hu, Ivan Higuera-Mendieta, Patrick Obin Sturm, Makoto M. Kelp
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Multi-Task Anti-Causal Learning for Reconstructing Urban Events from Residents' Reports

The paper introduces Multi-Task Anti-Causal learning (MTAC), a framework that estimates latent causes from observed effects by exploiting both task-invariant and task-specific structural dependencies. MTAC constructs a structural equation model that separates a shared backbone mechanism from task-specific deviations, then uses maximum a posteriori inference to reconstruct causes. Applied to urban event reconstruction—parking violations, abandoned properties, and unsanitary conditions—MTAC outperforms strong baselines on real data from Manhattan and Newark, achieving up to a 33.04% reduction in mean absolute error.

By Liangkai Zhou, Susu Xu, Shuqi Zhong, Shan Lin
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Closing Gaps in Emissions Monitoring with Climate TRACE

arXiv:2511. 19277v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Global greenhouse gas emissions estimates are essential for monitoring and mitigation planning.

By Brittany V. Lancellotti, Jordan M. Malof, Aaron Davitt, Gavin McCormick, Shelby Anderson, Pol Carb\'o-Mestre, Gary Collins, Verity Crane, Zoheyr Doctor, George Ebri, Kevin Foster, Trey M. Gowdy, Michael Guzzardi, John Heal, Heather Hunter, David Kroodsma, Khandekar Mahammad Galib, Paul J. Markakis, Gavin McDonald, Daniel P. Moore, Eric D. Nguyen, Sabina Parvu, Michael Pekala, Christine D. Piatko, Amy Piscopo, Mark Powell, Krsna Raniga, Elizabeth P. Reilly, Michael Robinette, Ishan Saraswat, Patrick Sicurello, Isabella S\"oldner-Rembold, Raymond Song, Charlotte Underwood, Kyle Bradbury
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Learning Hierarchical Causal Representations of the Effects of Forcings on Temperature in Climate Models

The paper presents a hierarchical causal representation learning framework that models both internal climate variability and forced responses in sea surface temperature fields from a global climate model. By training on future climate change scenarios, the method accurately predicts long‑term global mean and regional temperature evolution and reproduces realistic responses to perturbations in greenhouse gas and aerosol concentrations on unseen scenarios. This demonstrates the potential of causal representation learning to improve climate model emulation.

By Shan Zhao, Ilija Trajkovic, Julia Kaltenborn, Yaniv Gurwicz, Peer Nowack, David Rolnick, Julien Boussard
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

AI for Social Good: An Investigation of the Causal Relationship Between Environmental Regulations and Their Effects on Air Pollution in London, UK

arXiv:2606. 15257v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Air pollution regulation is central to urban public health governance, but estimating its effects is difficult because policies are implemented non-randomly and pollution trajectories are shaped by meteorology, socioeconomic change, temporal trends, and overlapping interventions.

By Yang Han, Jacqueline CK Lam, Victor OK Li, Yiu-Wai Man