arXiv Machine Learning

Geometry-Aware Uncertainty Quantification via Conformal Prediction on Manifolds

arXiv:2602. 16015v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction gives finite-sample coverage guarantees for regression, but most standard constructions are designed for Euclidean output spaces.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Isotonic Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.

By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

Approximate full conformal prediction in an RKHS

arXiv:2601. 13102v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Full conformal prediction is a framework that implicitly formulates distribution-free confidence prediction regions for a wide range of estimators.

By Davidson Lova Razafindrakoto, Alain Celisse, J\'er\^ome Lacaille