arXiv:2607. 10008v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce a new conformal prediction method that constructs calibrated prediction sets over collections of spatial events, such as tropical cyclone genesis and earthquake locations.
By Collin Nill, Trevor Harris, Jason Adams
arXiv:2606. 31915v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While conformal prediction provides a general framework for uncertainty quantification in predictive inference, its application is often limited by computational cost.
By Jiachen Cong, Jingbo Liu
arXiv:2601. 21455v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction(CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length.
By Yizhou Min, Yizhou Lu, Lanqi Li, Zhen Zhang, Jiaye Teng
arXiv:2507. 20975v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Operator models are regression algorithms between Banach spaces of functions.
By Trevor Harris, Yan Liu
arXiv:2606. 10734v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides robust uncertainty guarantees for predictive models, but is typically applied post hoc, which misaligns model training with the conformal goal of producing efficient (i.
By Soundouss Messoudi, Sylvain Rousseau, S\'ebastien Destercke
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang
arXiv:2602. 01733v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees.
By Junxian Liu, Hao Zeng, Hongxin Wei
arXiv:2509. 15120v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In high-stakes scenarios, such as medical imaging applications, it is critical to equip the predictions of a regression model with reliable confidence intervals.
By Yahav Cohen, Jacob Goldberger, Tom Tirer
arXiv:2606. 08654v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose a perturbation-based conformal prediction framework for uncertainty quantification in operator learning, with a focus on the 2D Navier--Stokes equations.
By Weinan Wang, Bowen Gang, Hao Deng
arXiv:2606. 15760v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A significant gap exists between theory and practice in deep learning.
By Marios Koulakis, Constantin Seibold
arXiv:2605. 25567v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study denoising score matching (DSM) when data are drawn from an embedded manifold $M \subset \mathbb{R}^D$.
By Divit Rawal
arXiv:2601. 13102v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Full conformal prediction is a framework that implicitly formulates distribution-free confidence prediction regions for a wide range of estimators.
By Davidson Lova Razafindrakoto, Alain Celisse, J\'er\^ome Lacaille