Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning for Wildfire Danger Forecasting
arXiv:2509. 25017v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems.
arXiv:2607. 21131v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating heat-related mortality risk is a core task in environmental epidemiology, typically addressed with Distributed Lag Non-linear Models (DLNMs); interpretable exposure-response surfaces fitted to temperature-mortality time series.
arXiv:2509. 25017v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems.
arXiv:2606. 06174v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Childhood asthma is a common illness exacerbated by air pollution as well as meteorological and neighborhood-level socioeconomic factors.
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
The paper introduces DeepX-GAN, a deep generative model that captures spatial dependence in rare climate extremes. It can simulate statistically plausible unseen heat extremes—both direct-hit and near-miss events—beyond the observed record. Applied to the Middle East and North Africa, the model shows that unseen heat extremes disproportionately affect vulnerable countries and that future warming could create new persistent hotspots, underscoring the need for spatially adaptive resilience planning.
arXiv:2510. 09484v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Limited-Area Models (LAMs) enable weather forecasting over regional domains at higher resolutions than what is computationally feasible for global models.
arXiv:2607. 28220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states.
arXiv:2606. 02038v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reconstructing spatially continuous daily temperature fields from sparse observations is important for urban climate monitoring and heat-risk analysis, but practical deployments are limited by sensor budgets and spacing constraints.
arXiv:2504. 04739v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Understanding how social, demographic, environmental, and spatial factors jointly shape urban outcomes is essential for sustainable urban development and evidence-based policy.
arXiv:2608. 19672v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Natural hazard susceptibility mapping is often constrained by limited labeled data, reducing the generalizability of conventional machine learning and limiting the applicability of complex deep learning models.
arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.
arXiv:2607. 05645v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep-learning-based climate downscaling aims to learn relationships from historical low-resolution (LR) and high-resolution (HR) climate data to generate HR climate projections.
Atmospheric predictability declines rapidly beyond the next ten days, such that forecasts at longer lead times primarily convey large-scale trends rather than specific states. Yet in a warming world, improving early warnings of extreme heat is an increasingly critical challenge.