arXiv:2606. 07898v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-resolution regional climate simulations provide critical information for climate impacts assessments but remain computationally expensive, motivating the development of machine-learning downscalers and emulators.
By Karandeep Singh, Stefan Rahimi, Chad W. Thackeray, Stephen Cropper, Alex Hall
arXiv:2607. 03279v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate regional weather prediction requires resolving fine-scale structure while remaining consistent with global dynamics.
By Wiktor Kamzela, Jakub Kubiak, Adam Dobosz, J\k{e}drzej Miczke, Anatol Kaczmarek, Piotr Wyrwi\'nski, Wojciech Stefaniak, Wojciech Kot{\l}owski
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.
By Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik
arXiv:2608. 05981v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: High-resolution climate data is crucial for meteorological predictions and for informing decision support across diverse domains.
By Yichen Zhang, Yixiong Xiao, Congxi Xiao, Jingbo Zhou
The paper introduces lightweight probabilistic downscaling models that build on a modified U‑Net backbone, adapting two recent machine learning techniques from weather forecasting. Using a two‑stage training curriculum—deterministic pretraining followed by probabilistic fine‑tuning—the authors evaluate their models on the CORDEX‑ML‑Bench suite for daily maximum temperature and precipitation in the Alps, New Zealand, and South Africa. The results show that this approach outperforms the current state‑of‑the‑art in RMSE, offering a more computationally efficient method for generating fine‑resolution regional climate data.
By Joseph McLean, Tiffany Vlaar, Sigrid Passano Hellan, Linus Ericsson
arXiv:2605. 16163v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Skillful medium-range precipitation forecasting at kilometer scale remains challenging over complex terrain because precipitation arises from multiscale nonlinear processes that global models cannot explicitly resolve at affordable cost.
By Dan Assouline, Erwan Koch, Federico Amato, Filippo Quarenghi, Daniele Nerini, Thibaut Loiseau, Kyle van de Langemheen, Tom Beucler
arXiv:2609.39833v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Extreme rainfall events are increasing in intensity and frequency as climate change accelerates. While kilometer-scale precipitation forecasts are crit...
By Pierre-Louis Lemaire, Luca Schmidt, Wietze Suijker, Alex Hernandez-Garcia, David Rolnick
The paper introduces the Continuous Spatiotemporal Temperature Forecaster (CSTF), a neural field that predicts 2‑meter temperature (T2M) by treating forecast lead time and output resolution as explicit queries. CSTF encodes ERA5 history into latent states and decodes T2M as a coordinate‑based field, allowing flexible evaluation at any spatial location, lead time, or resolution. Experiments on a Southeast China benchmark show CSTF outperforms existing methods, achieving a 17.0 % bias reduction and demonstrating coherent predictions across varying lead times and resolutions.
By Chunlei Shi, Jiong Wang, Yi-Lin Wei, Junming Hou, Jinjin Liu, Yecheng Zhang, Dan Niu
Accurate regional near-surface temperature forecasting is fundamental to short-range weather services and downstream risk assessment. Existing deep learning-based regional forecasters commonly produce...
arXiv:2512.12142v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: The Greenland ice sheet is melting at an accelerated rate due to processes that are not fully understood and hard to measure. The distributio...
By Bj\"orn L\"utjens, Patrick Alexander, Raf Antwerpen, Til Widmann, Guido Cervone, Marco Tedesco
arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.
By Bosong Zhang, Timothy M. Merlis