arXiv Machine Learning

Priors learned from legacy reconstructions inherit undetectable overconfidence

arXiv:2607. 21721v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Where truths are scarce (e.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Measurement Geometry and Design for Trustworthy Generative Inverse Problems

arXiv:2606. 02309v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative models are increasingly used as priors for inverse problems, but their ability to produce realistic images creates a basic trust problem: a plausible reconstruction may be supported by the measurements, or it may be filled in by the prior along unobserved directions.

By Pengfei Jin, Na Li, Quanzheng Li
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

The Right Measure for Physics-Constrained Generation: A Co-Area Correction for Posterior-Consistent PDE Inverse Problems

arXiv:2606. 04804v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative models -- diffusion and flow matching -- are increasingly used to solve partial differential equation (PDE) inverse problems, enforcing the governing physics as a \emph{hard constraint} (via projection or guidance) and reporting the resulting samples as a Bayesian posterior with calibrated uncertainty.

By Jian Xu, Delu Zeng, John Paisley, Qibin Zhao
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

Guide, Not Bind: Why Defeasible Priors Fail in Augmented Lagrangian Causal Discovery

The paper investigates why differentiable causal discovery methods that encode expert priors as forbidden-edge constraints via an Augmented Lagrangian (ALM) penalty—termed the "guide, not bind" approach—often fail. It identifies two key failures: (1) the sequential penalty‑ramping ALM suppresses a true edge before counterfactual checks can detect it, and the proposed adaptive relaxation rule DADU violates necessary conditions for safe relaxation, leading to a high failure rate across thousands of training runs; (2) the standard correlation‑matching objective inherently ties a true edge and its reverse to the same cost, whereas covariance matching can separate them by a provable margin. The authors provide theoretical propositions, corollaries, and empirical evidence to support these claims.

By Sairam Sundararaman, Sara Girdhar, Manit Narasimha Murthy, Samrudh N, Bhaskarjyoti Das
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Continually learning neural-operator surrogate for three-dimensional airborne electromagnetic Bayesian inversion

The paper presents a continually learning neural‑operator surrogate for the three‑dimensional forward operator used in time‑domain airborne electromagnetic (AEM) Bayesian inversion. By training on successive geological priors and employing an ensemble‑disagreement validity check, the surrogate replaces the expensive forward solver, enabling the Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler to reproduce the full‑solver posterior with credible intervals within 2.6 % of the truth. Applied to the 2013 Capricorn TEMPEST survey, the surrogate inverts over two million soundings in seconds, making uncertainty‑quantified conductivity imaging at survey scale feasible for near real‑time mineral‑systems targeting.

By Jaehong Chung, Andrew Lockwood, Jef Caers
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 3

The Right Measure for Physics-Constrained Generation: A Co-Area Correction for Posterior-Consistent PDE Inverse Problems

Generative models -- diffusion and flow matching -- are increasingly used to solve partial differential equation (PDE) inverse problems, enforcing the governing physics as a \emph{hard constraint} (via projection or guidance) and reporting the resulting samples as a Bayesian posterior with calibrated uncertainty. We show that this widely adopted recipe samples the wrong distribution.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Detecting and Discriminating Operator Misspecification in Hybrid PDE-Parameter Learning: a Reference-Free Instrument, with Discrimination Bounded In Sample

The paper introduces a reference‑free instrument that, from a single fit and without an oracle, can detect whether a hybrid PDE‑parameter estimator’s assumed operator is misspecified and distinguish this from mere parameter unidentifiability. In a self‑adjoint parabolic inverse problem, the proposed information‑matrix statistic correctly identifies misspecification with low false‑positive rates, while remaining silent when the design is correctly specified but non‑identifiable. The study demonstrates that conventional accuracy checks can miss significant operator errors, and it maps out the instrument’s blind spots and conditions under which its guarantees hold.

By Eric Fock