Variational Augmented Invertible Koopman Autoencoder for probabilistic time series forecasting
Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Machine Learning.
arXiv:2602.02832v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Forward forecasting and data assimilation are the two important aspects in physical simulation: one propagates the state forward, the other recover...
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Neural PDE solvers provide efficient surrogates for time-dependent physical systems, but autoregressive prediction over long horizons remains challenging because local errors can induce distribution s...
The paper introduces a variational framework called VAMO that incorporates latent Markov dynamics for neural PDE solvers, aiming to improve long‑horizon predictions by mitigating error accumulation. By representing physical states as latent distributions and evolving them through probabilistic transitions, the method aligns learned dynamics with a spectral geometry induced by structured Gaussian perturbations. Experiments on fluid‑dynamics benchmarks show that VAMO reduces error growth and enhances rollout stability compared to deterministic and noise‑injection baselines.