arXiv:2608. 22277v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning surrogates have become powerful tools for simulating and forecasting complex dynamical systems, yet their utility remains limited by catastrophic error accumulation during long-term autoregressive rollouts.
By Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo
The paper investigates why latent neural surrogate solvers, which compress physical system dynamics into a lower‑dimensional space, often fail during long‑horizon autoregressive rollouts. It demonstrates that training the latent representation only for reconstruction leads to instability, and proposes a set of training interventions—Koopman operator learning, Hamming noise injection, and multi‑step rollout fine‑tuning—that align the latent space with long‑horizon forecasting. These interventions reduce long‑rollout error by about 40 % and achieve accuracy comparable to full‑resolution models while using far fewer floating‑point operations and GPU memory, enabling stable extrapolation in mesoscale crystal‑plasticity simulations of high‑cycle fatigue.
By Andreas E. Robertson, Ashley T. Lenau, John D. Shimanek, Benjamin A. Jasperson, Vivek Oommen, David L. Damm, Krishna Garikipati, Remi Dingreville
arXiv:2511. 06609v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The accurate forecasting of complex, high-dimensional dynamical systems from observational data is a fundamental task across numerous scientific and engineering disciplines.
By Xuyang Li, John Harlim, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Romit Maulik
arXiv:2608.22112v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: We present a machine learning framework for identifying sparse, interpretable models of dynamical systems directly from time-series data. Our approac...
By Nibodh Boddupalli, Jeff Moehlis
arXiv:2608. 22277v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep learning surrogates for forecasting chaotic dynamical systems suffer from catastrophic error accumulation over long-term autoregressive rollouts.
By Zhou Fang, Gianmarco Mengaldo
Autoregressive transformers trained on limited trajectories of nonlinear dynamical systems can extrapolate to unseen parameter regimes, reproducing period-doubling cascades, chaotic dynamics, and attractor structures with high fidelity. In the logistic map, the model captures successive period doublings up to period 128, achieving a scaling ratio within $5 imes10^{-4}$ of the Feigenbaum constant. The study also shows how control‑parameter information is processed via attention, shaping the closed‑loop dynamics during training.
By Yilun Liu, Yi Zhang, Ganyu Wu, Sikuan Yan, Mengyue Wang, Alois Knoll, Volker Tresp, Yunpu Ma
arXiv:2608.29579v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Chaotic time series forecasting is a challenging task due to its sensitivity to initial conditions and long-term unpredictability. Traditional methods...
By Yuhang Yao, Bohan Jiang
arXiv:2603. 12676v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Generalizing neural surrogate models across different PDE parameters remains difficult because changes in PDE coefficients often make learning harder and optimization less stable.
By Zhangyong Liang, Huanhuan Gao
arXiv:2604. 19465v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding how complex systems respond to perturbations, such as whether they will remain stable or what their most sensitive patterns are, is a fundamental challenge across science and engineering.
By Chengyun Wang, Liwei Chen, Nils Thuerey
arXiv:2511. 08860v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The deep learning revolution has spurred a rise in advances of using AI in sciences.
By Zakhar Shumaylov, Peter Zaika, Philipp Scholl, Gitta Kutyniok, Lior Horesh, Carola-Bibiane Sch\"onlieb
arXiv:2606. 05618v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events -- such as earthquakes and coronal mass ejections -- are common in many chaotic dynamical systems, yet are difficult to characterize and predict due to the subtle instability mechanisms that drive them.
By Nicholas Zolman, Sajeda Mokbel, Samuel E. Otto, Steven L. Brunton
arXiv:2606. 07385v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Detecting transient chaos from scalar observations without governing equations represents a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics.
By S. V. Manivelan, Andrei Velichko, I. Manimehan