arXiv:2607. 18899v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting under real-world conditions is inherently non-stationary, as the conditional distribution of future observations evolves over time.
By Giuseppe Soriano, Nicola Tonellotto, Alberto Gotta
arXiv:2608. 06765v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continuous-time dynamic graph models predict future links by compressing past interactions into neural states.
By Minwoo Yu, Young-guk Ha
arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.
By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv:2506. 14790v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recurring concept drift is pervasive in real-world online time series, where the underlying data-generating process repeatedly alternates between a small set of regimes, most notably daily or seasonal cycles that dominate energy, traffic, and weather patterns, and is therefore a central obstacle to reliable long-horizon forecasting.
By Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan
arXiv:2607. 10197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Knowledge graph foundation models such as Ultra and Trix achieve strong inductive transfer by learning relation-graph representations that generalise to unseen entities and relations.
By Jiaxin Pan, Osama Mohammed, Daniel Hern\'andez, Steffen Staab
arXiv:2606. 05513v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Epidemic LLM forecasters are usually trained and evaluated as static supervised models, whereas operational pandemic forecasting is a streaming process in which labels arrive after predictions and disease regimes shift over time.
By Yiming Lu, Sihang Zeng, Zhengxu Tang, Max Lau, Fei Liu, Wei Jin
arXiv:2510. 09416v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning on temporal graphs has become a central topic in graph representation learning, with numerous benchmarks indicating the strong performance of state-of-the-art models.
By Abigail J. Hayes, Tobias Schumacher, Markus Strohmaier
arXiv:2607. 06607v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate long-term forecasting in complex systems is frequently compromised by dataset-level distribution shifts, where diverse underlying behavioral modes and evolving system states drive the dynamic multivariate time-series.
By Lanhao Li, Bingshu Xie, Lijun Sun, Xin Xue, Haoyi Zhou, Jianxin Li
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv:2509. 09474v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the task of temporal knowledge graph forecasting with an inherently interpretable method based on symbolic rules.
By Julia Gastinger, Christian Meilicke, Heiner Stuckenschmidt
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
By Xiangni Tian, Kaixian Yu, Runpeng Dai, Niansheng Tang, Hongtu Zhu
arXiv:2608. 10668v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal knowledge graphs are central to many uses of the Semantic Web, but existing completion methods assume the entities, relation names, and timestamps to be reasoned about are already known at training time, restricting each model to a single graph and vocabulary.
By Jiaxin Pan, Mojtaba Nayyeri, Osama Mohammed, Daniel Hernandez, Rongchuan Zhang, Cheng Cheng, Steffen Staab