arXiv Machine Learning

Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting under Distribution Shifts: A Synthetic Evaluation

arXiv:2607. 09232v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent evolving relational systems, whose underlying data-generating processes often change over time.

arXiv AI
1d ago

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv Machine Learning
22h ago

Continuous Evolution Pool: Taming Recurring Concept Drift in Online Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2506. 14790v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recurring concept drift is pervasive in real-world online time series, where the underlying data-generating process repeatedly alternates between a small set of regimes, most notably daily or seasonal cycles that dominate energy, traffic, and weather patterns, and is therefore a central obstacle to reliable long-horizon forecasting.

By Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

What Do Temporal Graph Learning Models Learn?

arXiv:2510. 09416v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning on temporal graphs has become a central topic in graph representation learning, with numerous benchmarks indicating the strong performance of state-of-the-art models.

By Abigail J. Hayes, Tobias Schumacher, Markus Strohmaier
arXiv AI
Aug 5

CastFSR: A Fast--Slow--Reflect Agentic Reasoning Framework for Context-Aware Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.

By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

GAttNHP: Group Attention Neural Hawkes Process for Extrapolation Reasoning in Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.

By Xiangni Tian, Kaixian Yu, Runpeng Dai, Niansheng Tang, Hongtu Zhu
arXiv AI
Aug 12

FITTER: Vocabulary-Agnostic Cross-Domain Inference on Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv:2608. 10668v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal knowledge graphs are central to many uses of the Semantic Web, but existing completion methods assume the entities, relation names, and timestamps to be reasoned about are already known at training time, restricting each model to a single graph and vocabulary.

By Jiaxin Pan, Mojtaba Nayyeri, Osama Mohammed, Daniel Hernandez, Rongchuan Zhang, Cheng Cheng, Steffen Staab