arXiv:2607. 21843v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Empirical Bayes (EB) performs simultaneous inference across many related latent variables.
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arXiv:2609.39712v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We consider simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) for the parameters of models with intractable likelihoods but tractable forward simulation. Bui...
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
arXiv:2607. 21702v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Simulation-based inference (SBI) with machine learning is an increasingly important tool for solving inverse problems in science and engineering, including parameter inference and the inversion of detector effects.
The paper introduces a new approach to source distribution estimation (SDE) in simulation-based science, addressing limitations of existing methods that rely on a fixed surrogate likelihood. By employing an expectation‑maximization framework, the authors iteratively train an amortized posterior on fresh simulations (E‑step) and refit the source distribution to the posterior’s average (M‑step). Two parameterizations are explored: separate source and posterior flows, and a single shared conditional flow, with experiments on three benchmark tasks showing improved performance over fixed surrogate and iterated baseline methods, notably achieving higher data‑space C2ST scores on the Lotka–Volterra benchmark.
The paper presents a tuning‑free empirical Bayes framework for Bayesian generalized linear models that uses a novel mean‑field variational inference algorithm. By estimating the prior within the VI procedure and optimizing the posterior mean directly, the method reduces optimization complexity and supports scalable solvers like L‑BFGS and stochastic gradient descent. Applied to sparse logistic regression, the approach shows superior predictive performance compared to existing methods.
arXiv:2608.21729v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) serves as a vital framework for parameter inference in scientific fields where simulators involve intractable likeliho...