arXiv Machine Learning By Aarchi Singh Thakur, Abhijoy Sarkar

Seeing Below the Limit of Detection: A Censored-Poisson Bayesian Latent-Growth Change-Point Detector (the Span Detector) for Serial ctDNA in HR+/HER2- Metastatic Breast Cancer

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2606. 11876v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Circulating-tumour DNA (ctDNA) carries evidence of drug resistance months before imaging shows it, but the earliest evidence lives below the assay's limit of detection (LoD): a nascent subclone is detected only intermittently, producing a flickering sequence of faint detects and non-detects.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

OncoTraj: a public benchmark for longitudinal resistance prediction in EGFR-mutant non-small-cell lung cancer on osimertinib

arXiv:2606. 11144v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Resistance to first-line osimertinib in EGFR-mutant non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the canonical example of predictable clonal evolution under therapeutic pressure, yet no public benchmark exists for training or evaluating computational models on the corresponding longitudinal patient trajectories.

By Abhijoy Sarkar, Aarchi Singh Thakur
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Pathology Transport: Optimal-Transport Explanations for Clinical Data, and When Their Heatmaps (Fail to) Localize Disease

The paper presents an optimal‑transport based generative model that learns the distributional differences between healthy and diseased patients, producing per‑patient counterfactuals and label‑free attribution heatmaps. On tabular breast cancer data the model achieves high malignancy scoring (AUROC ≈ 0.91) and its attributions correlate moderately with a supervised classifier, yet it does not surpass logistic regression. In chest X‑ray experiments the transport heatmaps capture population‑level signals but fail to localize real lesions, revealing a synthetic‑to‑real gap that challenges the reliability of label‑free explanations.

By Lalit Kumar
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

TAM-Chain: Multi-Scale Thyroid Cytology Classification via Absorbing Markov Chains and Shannon Entropy Uncertainty Quantification for False-Negative Suppression and Domain-Shift Adaptation

TAM-Chain is a multi‑scale thyroid cytology classification framework that uses Absorbing Markov Chains and Shannon Entropy to quantify uncertainty and dynamically decide when to stop processing and refer to a specialist. It processes images at 10×, 20×, and 40× magnifications, achieving a Macro F1 score of 0.9741 on an internal test set with a 0 % false‑negative rate, and maintains a Macro F1 of 0.7026 on an external validation set with severe domain shift. The method outperforms single‑magnification baselines by adaptively adjusting stopping steps and triggering specialist referrals, thereby reducing critical diagnostic errors.

By Hai Pham Ngoc
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Foundation model embeddings capture pre-diagnostic changes on screening mammograms

The study examined whether embeddings from four foundation models—Mammo-CLIP, HOPPR, MedImageInsight, and BiomedCLIP—could detect pre‑diagnostic changes in screening mammograms. Using 1,773 biopsied women and matched controls, the researchers measured the speed of movement along a data‑derived “cancer direction” in embedding space over successive screening intervals. They found that embeddings from clinically grounded models (Mammo‑CLIP, HOPPR, MedImageInsight) showed faster drift in malignant cases compared to controls, while the general biomedical model BiomedCLIP did not, indicating that foundation model embeddings can encode early tissue changes without task‑specific fine‑tuning.

By Kalina P. Slavkova, Eric Brattain, Aditya Gowd, Akash Pattnaik, Jean-Benoit Delbrouck, Matthew Morgan, Julie Bauml, Javid Abderezaei, Khan Siddiqui