Robust Market Making with Hawkes Order Flow and Price Impact via Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →The paper proposes an adversarial reinforcement‑learning framework for market making that incorporates Hawkes‑process driven order arrivals and trade‑induced price impact, addressing limitations of prior Poisson‑based models. An LSTM module captures temporal dependencies in recent observations to handle increased non‑stationarity, and the authors analyze equilibrium properties and introduce a robustness evaluation protocol focused on the left tail of returns. Experiments across diverse market regimes demonstrate that the method improves left‑tail performance, especially under strong Hawkes excitation and moderate price impact, without relying on a terminal inventory bias.
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