arXiv AI By Mark Riedl, Glenn Matlin

Position: AI Is Not Ready for Strategic Conflicts

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The paper titled "Position: AI Is Not Ready for Strategic Conflicts" argues that language‑model (LM) based open‑ended strategic wargames, while useful for simulating adversaries, institutions, and crisis response, pose significant safety risks. It identifies five failure modes—decision laundering, adjudication opacity, role collapse, escalation‑through‑adjudication, and failure of strategic imagination—and contends that such wargames should not inform real‑world planning or policy without an auditable safety case. Instead, the authors suggest using these simulations primarily as stress tests to expose potential failures in decision‑influencing LM agents.

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