arXiv Machine Learning By Ruzaini Ahmed, Yohan Jayasinghe, Tharumini Gamage, Ifaz Ikram, Hasini Lawanya, Nirasha Munasinghe, Patalee Narasinghe, Nisansa de Silva, Sandareka Wickramanayake

Monsoon Mayhem to Market Waves: Forecasting Fisheries Resilience in Sri Lanka

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arXiv:2608. 04023v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sri Lanka's fisheries sector is important for jobs and food supply.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

When Prices Double in a Week: Forecasting of Agricultural Volatility in Import-Isolated Markets

arXiv:2606. 29248v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vegetable prices in Sri Lanka are highly volatile because the market is largely import-isolated, so supply disruptions quickly drive prices up.

By Ranuga Weerasekara, Heshan Nethmina, Manuja Ranathunga, Vinma Wettasinghe, Dinithi Navodya, Subavarshana Arumugam, Nirasha Munasinghe, Nisansa de Silva, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Forecasting Weather-Driven Price Dynamics Across Sri Lankan Tea Market Catalogues

The study investigates how local weather conditions influence price dynamics in Sri Lankan tea markets by creating a structured dataset from 105 weekly broker reports and regional weather data. Using Granger causality and tree‑based machine learning models, the authors find that market forces dominate but weather—especially precipitation and sunshine for Low Grown tea, and temperature for Off‑Grade and Dust—significantly affects prices with notable lag effects. Catalogue‑specific models, particularly LightGBM, outperform unified approaches, underscoring the value of tailored forecasting.

By Hesandi Mallawarachchi, Senilka Madurapperumage, Nadil Kulathunge, Thilokya Angeesa, Nethsith Gunaweera, Sandeepa Weerasekara, Patalee Narasinghe, Nisansa de Silva, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv AI
Jun 29

The Remittance Blueprint: Data-driven Intelligence for Sri Lanka

arXiv:2606. 28190v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This study analyzes Sri Lankan migration and remittances over 32 years (1994-2025).

By Dhinanjaya Fernando, Dinura Ginige, Kalana Lakshan, Chanupa Gurusinghe, Lasana Pahanga, Subavarshana Arumugam, Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka Wickramanayake, Nisansa de Silva