arXiv Machine Learning By Tobias Weber, Carla Sagebiel, Philipp Hennig

Learn Only Where You Can't Compute: Structured Corrections to Gaussian Process Posteriors

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The paper introduces a structured posterior‑correction framework that blends a tractable Gaussian reference with data‑driven corrections learned via diffusion models. After applying mean correction and covariance calibration, the diffusion model focuses on a low‑dimensional subspace that captures discrepancies from the Gaussian reference, while the remaining space stays Gaussian. Experiments on three scientific inference tasks show that these corrections recover hidden modes, improve sample structure, and reduce prediction error compared to the Gaussian reference, with trade‑offs between accuracy and computational cost relative to full‑field generative models.

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