arXiv Machine Learning

Predictively Oriented Gaussian Process Posteriors

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

Bayesian Optimisation Using Product-of-Experts Gaussian Process Models with Uncertainty Calibration

The paper introduces BO-pro-c, a Bayesian optimisation algorithm that employs a product-of-experts Gaussian process (GP-pro-c) as its surrogate model. GP-pro-c combines multiple local GP experts to improve uncertainty quantification, reduce computational cost, and preserve global correlations, addressing the cubic complexity of single global GP models. Experiments show that BO-pro-c achieves competitive optimisation performance with a 0.9% lower simple regret and a 39.4% reduction in computational overhead compared to a single‑global‑GP baseline.

By Yean Hoon Ong
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 27

gp2Scale: A Class of Compactly Supported Non-Stationary Kernels and Distributed Computing for Exact Gaussian Processes on 10 Million Data Points

arXiv:2512. 06143v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists.

By Marcus M. Noack, Mark D. Risser, Hengrui Luo, Vardaan Tekriwal, Ronald J. Pandolfi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Dynamic Gaussian Processes and the Vanilla-SPDE Exchange

arXiv:2606. 31063v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Gaussian process inference is often limited by cubic computational costs, a challenge that becomes more pronounced in spatio-temporal settings where posterior inference is required over dense grids.

By Rui-Yang Zhang, Lachlan Astfalck, Edward Cripps, David Leslie, Henry Moss